MT Bank Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| MTB Stock | USD 217.46 1.70 0.78% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MT Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 217.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.96. MTB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MT Bank stock prices and determine the direction of MT Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MT Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of MT Bank's stock price is about 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling MTB, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MT Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MT Bank from the perspective of MT Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MT Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 217.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.96. MT Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 217.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MT Bank to cross-verify your projections. MT Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MTB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MTB using various technical indicators. When you analyze MTB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MT Bank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of MT Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 217.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.82, mean absolute percentage error of 12.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MTB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MT Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MT Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
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MT Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MT Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MT Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 215.80 and 218.28, respectively. We have considered MT Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MT Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MT Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6265 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.8191 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 171.965 |
Predictive Modules for MT Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MT Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MT Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MT Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MT Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MT Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MT Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MT Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MT Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MT Bank's historical news coverage. MT Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 216.22 and 218.70, respectively. We have considered MT Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MT Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MT Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
MT Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MT Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MT Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MT Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
217.46 | 217.46 | 0.00 |
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MT Bank Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January MT Bank is traded for 217.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. MTB is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on MT Bank is about 545.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 217.40. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.24. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MT Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.45. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.0. The firm last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. MT Bank had 10:1 split on the 6th of October 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MT Bank to cross-verify your projections.MT Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MT Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MT Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how MT Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MT Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 2.74 | (1.52) | 6.77 | |
| KB | KB Financial Group | (0.29) | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 3.60 | (2.38) | 8.71 | |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.13 | 1.80 | (1.17) | 5.12 | |
| BBDO | Banco Bradesco SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (3.44) | 8.84 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | (1.30) | 11 per month | 1.56 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (2.40) | 5.86 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.09 | 2.49 | (2.19) | 8.21 | |
| RF | Regions Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.11 | 3.11 | (1.49) | 6.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for MT Bank
For every potential investor in MTB, whether a beginner or expert, MT Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MTB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MTB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MT Bank's price trends.MT Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MT Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MT Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MT Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MT Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MT Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MT Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MT Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MT Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 29303.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 219.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 218.69 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.70) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.04 |
MT Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of MT Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MT Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mtb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9327 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7302 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9182 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5332 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MT Bank
The number of cover stories for MT Bank depends on current market conditions and MT Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MT Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MT Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MT Bank Short Properties
MT Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when MT Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MT Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MT Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MT Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MT Bank to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade MTB Stock refer to our How to Trade MTB Stock guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MT Bank. If investors know MTB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MT Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of MT Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MTB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MT Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MT Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MT Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MT Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MT Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MT Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MT Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.