Newegg Commerce Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| NEGG Stock | USD 0.61 0.02 3.39% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Newegg Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39. Newegg Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Newegg Commerce's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Newegg |
Newegg Commerce 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Newegg Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newegg Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newegg Commerce's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newegg Commerce Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newegg Commerce | Newegg Commerce Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Newegg Commerce Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newegg Commerce's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newegg Commerce's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.46, respectively. We have considered Newegg Commerce's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newegg Commerce stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newegg Commerce stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.7922 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0081 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0359 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3925 |
Predictive Modules for Newegg Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newegg Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Newegg Commerce
For every potential investor in Newegg, whether a beginner or expert, Newegg Commerce's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newegg Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newegg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newegg Commerce's price trends.Newegg Commerce Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newegg Commerce stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newegg Commerce could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newegg Commerce by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newegg Commerce Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Newegg Commerce's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Newegg Commerce's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Newegg Commerce Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newegg Commerce stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newegg Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newegg Commerce stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newegg Commerce entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Newegg Commerce Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newegg Commerce's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newegg Commerce's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newegg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Variance | 14.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Newegg Commerce is a strong investment it is important to analyze Newegg Commerce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Newegg Commerce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Newegg Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newegg Commerce to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Newegg Stock please use our How to Invest in Newegg Commerce guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Computer & Electronics Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newegg Commerce. If investors know Newegg will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newegg Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share 3.588 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets (0.10) |
The market value of Newegg Commerce is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newegg that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newegg Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newegg Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newegg Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newegg Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newegg Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Newegg Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newegg Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.