Newegg Commerce Stock Price Prediction
| NEGG Stock | USD 49.54 0.39 0.79% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Using Newegg Commerce hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newegg Commerce from the perspective of Newegg Commerce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Newegg Commerce using Newegg Commerce's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Newegg using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Newegg Commerce's stock price.
Newegg Commerce Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Newegg Commerce's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Newegg. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Newegg Commerce stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.0016 | Short Percent 0.0078 | Short Ratio 0.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 118.8 K | 50 Day MA 56.0466 |
Newegg Commerce Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newegg Commerce's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newegg. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newegg can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newegg Commerce. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newegg Commerce's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newegg Commerce.
Newegg Commerce Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Newegg Commerce's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newegg Commerce stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newegg Commerce's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newegg Commerce stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newegg Commerce's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Newegg Commerce to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Newegg because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Newegg Commerce after-hype prediction price | USD 49.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Newegg contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Newegg Commerce will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Newegg Commerce trading at USD 49.54, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Newegg Commerce's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Newegg Commerce options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Newegg Commerce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Newegg Commerce After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newegg Commerce at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newegg Commerce or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newegg Commerce, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newegg Commerce Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newegg Commerce's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newegg Commerce's historical news coverage. Newegg Commerce's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.21 and 57.87, respectively. We have considered Newegg Commerce's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newegg Commerce is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newegg Commerce is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newegg Commerce Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newegg Commerce is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newegg Commerce backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newegg Commerce, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 8.37 | 1.76 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.54 | 49.54 | 0.00 |
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Newegg Commerce Hype Timeline
Newegg Commerce is now traded for 49.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.76, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Newegg is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 161.9%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Newegg Commerce is about 34875.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.55. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.18. Newegg Commerce last dividend was issued on the 26th of October 2020. The entity had 1:20 split on the 7th of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Newegg Commerce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Newegg Commerce Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newegg Commerce's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newegg Commerce's future price movements. Getting to know how Newegg Commerce's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newegg Commerce may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RVLV | Revolve Group LLC | 0.58 | 11 per month | 2.31 | 0.15 | 6.43 | (4.91) | 15.93 | |
| RERE | ATRenew Inc DRC | (0.33) | 5 per month | 3.07 | 0.15 | 5.67 | (4.75) | 13.51 | |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings | (0.17) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.55 | (4.64) | 13.11 | |
| MODG | Callaway Golf | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.87 | 0.14 | 8.81 | (4.89) | 23.39 | |
| ACVA | ACV Auctions | 0.07 | 7 per month | 6.97 | (0.01) | 6.09 | (4.69) | 43.71 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | 0.68 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.64 | (1.70) | 6.16 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | (0.34) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.20 | (3.51) | 12.97 | |
| AIN | Albany International | (0.33) | 7 per month | 2.71 | (0.02) | 4.01 | (3.73) | 16.02 | |
| SHCO | Soho House Co | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.34 | (0.34) | 1.70 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.08 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.56 | (3.13) | 11.11 |
Newegg Commerce Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newegg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newegg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newegg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Newegg Commerce Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Newegg Commerce stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Newegg Commerce, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Newegg Commerce based on analysis of Newegg Commerce hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Newegg Commerce's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Newegg Commerce's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.44 | 7.52 | 6.77 | 6.43 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 37.39 | 32.26 | 37.1 | 35.25 |
Story Coverage note for Newegg Commerce
The number of cover stories for Newegg Commerce depends on current market conditions and Newegg Commerce's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newegg Commerce is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newegg Commerce's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Newegg Commerce Short Properties
Newegg Commerce's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newegg Commerce's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newegg Commerce often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newegg Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newegg Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Newegg Stock analysis
When running Newegg Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Newegg Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newegg Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Newegg Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newegg Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newegg Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newegg Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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