Newegg Commerce Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| NEGG Stock | USD 50.80 1.84 3.76% |
Newegg Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Newegg Commerce's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Newegg Commerce's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Newegg Commerce, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Using Newegg Commerce hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newegg Commerce from the perspective of Newegg Commerce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Newegg Commerce using Newegg Commerce's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Newegg using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Newegg Commerce's stock price.
Newegg Commerce Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Newegg Commerce's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Newegg. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Newegg Commerce stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.0016 | Short Percent 0.0078 | Short Ratio 0.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 273.1 K | 50 Day MA 56.0466 |
Newegg Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Newegg Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 43.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 329.61.Newegg Commerce Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newegg Commerce's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newegg. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newegg can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newegg Commerce. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newegg Commerce's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newegg Commerce.
Newegg Commerce Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Newegg Commerce's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newegg Commerce stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newegg Commerce's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newegg Commerce stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newegg Commerce's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Newegg Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 43.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 329.61. Newegg Commerce after-hype prediction price | USD 50.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newegg Commerce to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Newegg contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Newegg Commerce will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Newegg Commerce trading at USD 50.8, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Newegg Commerce's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Newegg Commerce options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Newegg Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Newegg Commerce's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Newegg Commerce's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Newegg Commerce stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Newegg Commerce's open interest, investors have to compare it to Newegg Commerce's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Newegg Commerce is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Newegg. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Newegg Commerce Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newegg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newegg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newegg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newegg Commerce Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Newegg Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 43.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.40, mean absolute percentage error of 44.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 329.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newegg Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newegg Commerce's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newegg Commerce Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newegg Commerce | Newegg Commerce Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Newegg Commerce Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newegg Commerce's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newegg Commerce's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.51 and 50.47, respectively. We have considered Newegg Commerce's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newegg Commerce stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newegg Commerce stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.9113 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.4034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0835 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 329.6055 |
Predictive Modules for Newegg Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newegg Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Newegg Commerce After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newegg Commerce at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newegg Commerce or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newegg Commerce, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newegg Commerce Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newegg Commerce's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newegg Commerce's historical news coverage. Newegg Commerce's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.37 and 57.33, respectively. We have considered Newegg Commerce's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newegg Commerce is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newegg Commerce is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newegg Commerce Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newegg Commerce is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newegg Commerce backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newegg Commerce, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 6.48 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.80 | 50.85 | 0.10 |
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Newegg Commerce Hype Timeline
Newegg Commerce is now traded for 50.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Newegg is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Newegg Commerce is about 1486.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.73. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (43.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 148.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newegg Commerce to cross-verify your projections.Newegg Commerce Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newegg Commerce's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newegg Commerce's future price movements. Getting to know how Newegg Commerce's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newegg Commerce may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RVLV | Revolve Group LLC | (0.55) | 10 per month | 2.18 | 0.13 | 6.43 | (3.71) | 16.41 | |
| RERE | ATRenew Inc DRC | (0.33) | 6 per month | 2.09 | 0.18 | 6.33 | (3.03) | 13.51 | |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings | (0.54) | 9 per month | 2.72 | (0) | 4.28 | (4.37) | 11.38 | |
| MODG | MODG Old | (0.18) | 2 per month | 2.56 | 0.20 | 8.81 | (3.96) | 23.39 | |
| ACVA | ACV Auctions | (0.10) | 10 per month | 6.85 | 0 | 6.09 | (3.50) | 43.71 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | (1.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.59 | (2.00) | 5.01 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.03 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (3.51) | 12.97 | |
| AIN | Albany International | (1.24) | 8 per month | 2.79 | (0.02) | 3.96 | (3.73) | 16.02 | |
| SHCO | Soho House Co | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.62 | (0.03) | 1.13 | (1.36) | 12.23 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.56 | (3.13) | 11.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newegg Commerce
For every potential investor in Newegg, whether a beginner or expert, Newegg Commerce's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newegg Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newegg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newegg Commerce's price trends.Newegg Commerce Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newegg Commerce stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newegg Commerce could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newegg Commerce by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newegg Commerce Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newegg Commerce stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newegg Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newegg Commerce stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newegg Commerce entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Newegg Commerce Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newegg Commerce's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newegg Commerce's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newegg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.27 | |||
| Variance | 68.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 39.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newegg Commerce
The number of cover stories for Newegg Commerce depends on current market conditions and Newegg Commerce's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newegg Commerce is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newegg Commerce's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Newegg Commerce Short Properties
Newegg Commerce's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newegg Commerce's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newegg Commerce often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newegg Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newegg Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newegg Commerce to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Newegg Stock please use our How to Invest in Newegg Commerce guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Computer & Electronics Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newegg Commerce. If investors know Newegg will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newegg Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Earnings Share (1.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Newegg Commerce is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newegg that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newegg Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newegg Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newegg Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newegg Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newegg Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Newegg Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newegg Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.