Nicolet Bankshares Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NIC Stock | USD 150.22 1.05 0.70% |
Nicolet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nicolet Bankshares stock prices and determine the direction of Nicolet Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nicolet Bankshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Nicolet Bankshares' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.204 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.385 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.5067 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.3567 | Wall Street Target Price 167.6 |
Using Nicolet Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nicolet Bankshares from the perspective of Nicolet Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nicolet Bankshares using Nicolet Bankshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nicolet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nicolet Bankshares' stock price.
Nicolet Bankshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nicolet Bankshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nicolet. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nicolet Bankshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 127.9393 | Short Percent 0.0545 | Short Ratio 4.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 700.4 K | 50 Day MA 131.2182 |
Nicolet Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nicolet Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 142.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.11.Nicolet Bankshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nicolet Bankshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nicolet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nicolet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nicolet Bankshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nicolet Bankshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nicolet Bankshares.
Nicolet Bankshares Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Nicolet Bankshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nicolet Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nicolet Bankshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nicolet Bankshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nicolet Bankshares' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nicolet Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 142.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.11. Nicolet Bankshares after-hype prediction price | USD 153.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nicolet Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nicolet contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nicolet Bankshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Nicolet Bankshares trading at USD 150.22, that is roughly USD 0.0319 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nicolet Bankshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nicolet Bankshares options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Nicolet Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nicolet Bankshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nicolet Bankshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nicolet Bankshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nicolet Bankshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to Nicolet Bankshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nicolet Bankshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nicolet. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nicolet Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nicolet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nicolet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nicolet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nicolet Bankshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Nicolet Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 142.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.08, mean absolute percentage error of 34.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nicolet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nicolet Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nicolet Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nicolet Bankshares | Nicolet Bankshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nicolet Bankshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nicolet Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nicolet Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 140.08 and 144.12, respectively. We have considered Nicolet Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nicolet Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nicolet Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.5027 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.0825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0389 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 315.1141 |
Predictive Modules for Nicolet Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nicolet Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nicolet Bankshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nicolet Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nicolet Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nicolet Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nicolet Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nicolet Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nicolet Bankshares' historical news coverage. Nicolet Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 135.20 and 155.63, respectively. We have considered Nicolet Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nicolet Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nicolet Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nicolet Bankshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nicolet Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nicolet Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nicolet Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.02 | 3.30 | 0.24 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
150.22 | 153.62 | 2.26 |
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Nicolet Bankshares Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Nicolet Bankshares is traded for 150.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Nicolet is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 153.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 20.18%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Nicolet Bankshares is about 283.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 149.98. Nicolet Bankshares has 134.86 M in debt. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nicolet Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.Nicolet Bankshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nicolet Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nicolet Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Nicolet Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nicolet Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHCO | City Holding | (4.60) | 10 per month | 1.02 | 0.08 | 1.91 | (1.54) | 6.66 | |
| NWBI | Northwest Bancshares | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.99 | 0.13 | 3.63 | (1.40) | 7.40 | |
| OFG | OFG Bancorp | (0.34) | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 2.23 | (1.48) | 12.38 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | (1.00) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.10 | 2.79 | (1.70) | 9.13 | |
| FCF | First Commonwealth Financial | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.21 | 2.92 | (1.33) | 8.12 | |
| SYBT | Stock Yards Bancorp | 0.23 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.04 | 3.29 | (1.87) | 9.60 | |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners | (1.84) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.13 | 3.19 | (2.01) | 8.67 | |
| STEL | Stellar Bancorp | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.20 | 2.67 | (1.28) | 10.91 | |
| OZK | Bank Ozk | 0.04 | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.1 | 2.43 | (2.13) | 7.47 | |
| TCBK | TriCo Bancshares | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.02 | 0.15 | 3.41 | (1.67) | 7.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nicolet Bankshares
For every potential investor in Nicolet, whether a beginner or expert, Nicolet Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nicolet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nicolet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nicolet Bankshares' price trends.Nicolet Bankshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nicolet Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nicolet Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nicolet Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nicolet Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nicolet Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nicolet Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nicolet Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nicolet Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nicolet Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nicolet Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nicolet Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nicolet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nicolet Bankshares
The number of cover stories for Nicolet Bankshares depends on current market conditions and Nicolet Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nicolet Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nicolet Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nicolet Bankshares Short Properties
Nicolet Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nicolet Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nicolet Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nicolet Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nicolet Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 660.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nicolet Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Nicolet Stock refer to our How to Trade Nicolet Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Nicolet diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nicolet Bankshares. Anticipated expansion of Nicolet directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nicolet Bankshares data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.204 | Dividend Share 1.24 | Earnings Share 9.85 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 |
Nicolet Bankshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Nicolet's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Nicolet Bankshares' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Nicolet Bankshares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nicolet Bankshares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nicolet Bankshares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Nicolet Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.