NL Industries Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| NL Stock | USD 5.63 0.08 1.44% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 5.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.11. NL Industries Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although NL Industries' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of NL Industries' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of NL Industries fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of NL Industries' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.872 | Wall Street Target Price 6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.187 |
Using NL Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NL Industries from the perspective of NL Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NL Industries using NL Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NL Industries using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NL Industries' stock price.
NL Industries Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
NL Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NL Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NL Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NL Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when NL Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 5.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.11. NL Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 5.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NL Industries | Build AI portfolio with NL Industries Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 NL Industries Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NL Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NL Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NL Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NL Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to NL Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NL Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NL Industries. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NL Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NL Industries price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NL Industries using various technical indicators. When you analyze NL Industries charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NL Industries Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of NL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 5.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NL Industries Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NL Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NL Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NL Industries | NL Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NL Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NL Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NL Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.83 and 8.09, respectively. We have considered NL Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NL Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NL Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5616 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.133 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0239 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.1139 |
Predictive Modules for NL Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NL Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NL Industries
For every potential investor in NL Industries, whether a beginner or expert, NL Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NL Industries Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NL Industries. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NL Industries' price trends.NL Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NL Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NL Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NL Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NL Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NL Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NL Industries' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NL Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NL Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NL Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NL Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NL Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NL Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of NL Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NL Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nl industries stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NL Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy NL Industries Stock please use our How to buy in NL Industries Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NL Industries. If investors know NL Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NL Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Dividend Share 0.35 | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.187 |
The market value of NL Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NL Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NL Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NL Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NL Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NL Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NL Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NL Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NL Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.