NP3 Fastigheter Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| NP3 Stock | SEK 263.50 11.50 4.56% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 260.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 381.11. NP3 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
NP3 |
NP3 Fastigheter Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 260.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.25, mean absolute percentage error of 57.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 381.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NP3 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NP3 Fastigheter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NP3 Fastigheter Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NP3 Fastigheter | NP3 Fastigheter Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NP3 Fastigheter Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NP3 Fastigheter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NP3 Fastigheter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 258.35 and 262.59, respectively. We have considered NP3 Fastigheter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NP3 Fastigheter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NP3 Fastigheter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1641 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.2477 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0256 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 381.1122 |
Predictive Modules for NP3 Fastigheter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NP3 Fastigheter AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NP3 Fastigheter
For every potential investor in NP3, whether a beginner or expert, NP3 Fastigheter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NP3 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NP3. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NP3 Fastigheter's price trends.NP3 Fastigheter Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NP3 Fastigheter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NP3 Fastigheter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NP3 Fastigheter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NP3 Fastigheter AB Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NP3 Fastigheter's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NP3 Fastigheter's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NP3 Fastigheter Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NP3 Fastigheter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NP3 Fastigheter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NP3 Fastigheter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NP3 Fastigheter AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NP3 Fastigheter Risk Indicators
The analysis of NP3 Fastigheter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NP3 Fastigheter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting np3 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for NP3 Stock Analysis
When running NP3 Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure NP3 Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NP3 Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of NP3 Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NP3 Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NP3 Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NP3 Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.