NP3 Fastigheter Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NP3 Stock  SEK 268.50  1.00  0.37%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 268.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.55. NP3 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of NP3 Fastigheter's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NP3 Fastigheter, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NP3 Fastigheter's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NP3 Fastigheter AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using NP3 Fastigheter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NP3 Fastigheter AB from the perspective of NP3 Fastigheter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 268.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.55.

NP3 Fastigheter after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 268.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NP3 Fastigheter to cross-verify your projections.

NP3 Fastigheter Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NP3 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NP3 using various technical indicators. When you analyze NP3 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
NP3 Fastigheter simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for NP3 Fastigheter AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as NP3 Fastigheter AB prices get older.

NP3 Fastigheter Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 268.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.81, mean absolute percentage error of 13.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 168.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NP3 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NP3 Fastigheter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NP3 Fastigheter Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NP3 FastigheterNP3 Fastigheter Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NP3 Fastigheter Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NP3 Fastigheter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NP3 Fastigheter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 267.16 and 269.84, respectively. We have considered NP3 Fastigheter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
268.50
267.16
Downside
268.50
Expected Value
269.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NP3 Fastigheter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NP3 Fastigheter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8844
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1878
MADMean absolute deviation2.8092
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0109
SAESum of the absolute errors168.55
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting NP3 Fastigheter AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent NP3 Fastigheter observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for NP3 Fastigheter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NP3 Fastigheter AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
267.16268.50269.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
248.36249.70295.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
244.31259.58274.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NP3 Fastigheter

For every potential investor in NP3, whether a beginner or expert, NP3 Fastigheter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NP3 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NP3. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NP3 Fastigheter's price trends.

NP3 Fastigheter Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NP3 Fastigheter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NP3 Fastigheter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NP3 Fastigheter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NP3 Fastigheter AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NP3 Fastigheter's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NP3 Fastigheter's current price.

NP3 Fastigheter Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NP3 Fastigheter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NP3 Fastigheter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NP3 Fastigheter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NP3 Fastigheter AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NP3 Fastigheter Risk Indicators

The analysis of NP3 Fastigheter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NP3 Fastigheter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting np3 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for NP3 Stock Analysis

When running NP3 Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure NP3 Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NP3 Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of NP3 Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NP3 Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NP3 Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NP3 Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.