NP3 Fastigheter Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| NP3 Stock | SEK 261.50 6.50 2.55% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 257.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 397.82. NP3 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of NP3 Fastigheter's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NP3 Fastigheter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NP3 Fastigheter AB from the perspective of NP3 Fastigheter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 257.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 397.82. NP3 Fastigheter after-hype prediction price | SEK 261.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NP3 |
NP3 Fastigheter Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NP3 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NP3 using various technical indicators. When you analyze NP3 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NP3 Fastigheter Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of NP3 Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 257.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.42, mean absolute percentage error of 60.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 397.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NP3 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NP3 Fastigheter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NP3 Fastigheter Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NP3 Fastigheter | NP3 Fastigheter Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NP3 Fastigheter Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NP3 Fastigheter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NP3 Fastigheter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 256.49 and 259.38, respectively. We have considered NP3 Fastigheter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NP3 Fastigheter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NP3 Fastigheter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.0487 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.4165 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0248 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 397.8248 |
Predictive Modules for NP3 Fastigheter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NP3 Fastigheter AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NP3 Fastigheter After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NP3 Fastigheter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NP3 Fastigheter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NP3 Fastigheter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NP3 Fastigheter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NP3 Fastigheter's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NP3 Fastigheter's historical news coverage. NP3 Fastigheter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 260.05 and 262.95, respectively. We have considered NP3 Fastigheter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NP3 Fastigheter is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NP3 Fastigheter AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
NP3 Fastigheter Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NP3 Fastigheter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NP3 Fastigheter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NP3 Fastigheter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
261.50 | 261.50 | 0.00 |
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NP3 Fastigheter Hype Timeline
NP3 Fastigheter AB is now traded for 261.50on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NP3 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on NP3 Fastigheter is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 261.50. About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NP3 Fastigheter AB recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NP3 Fastigheter to cross-verify your projections.NP3 Fastigheter Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NP3 Fastigheter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NP3 Fastigheter's future price movements. Getting to know how NP3 Fastigheter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NP3 Fastigheter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NYF | Nyfosa AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.93 | (2.69) | 6.63 | |
| CIBUS | Cibus Nordic Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.40 | (1.97) | 4.66 | |
| PLAZ-B | Platzer Fastigheter Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.39 | (2.18) | 6.84 | |
| SLP-B | Swedish Logistic Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.62 | (1.91) | 7.10 | |
| EMIL-B | Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.11 | (2.75) | 8.42 | |
| SBB-B | Samhllsbyggnadsbolaget i Norden | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.08 | (3.44) | 12.31 | |
| ATRLJ-B | Atrium Ljungberg AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.64 | (2.13) | 10.07 | |
| DIOS | Dios Fastigheter AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.72 | (1.61) | 7.08 | |
| FPAR-A | FastPartner AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.67 | (2.33) | 8.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for NP3 Fastigheter
For every potential investor in NP3, whether a beginner or expert, NP3 Fastigheter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NP3 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NP3. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NP3 Fastigheter's price trends.NP3 Fastigheter Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NP3 Fastigheter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NP3 Fastigheter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NP3 Fastigheter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NP3 Fastigheter Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NP3 Fastigheter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NP3 Fastigheter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NP3 Fastigheter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NP3 Fastigheter AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NP3 Fastigheter Risk Indicators
The analysis of NP3 Fastigheter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NP3 Fastigheter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting np3 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NP3 Fastigheter
The number of cover stories for NP3 Fastigheter depends on current market conditions and NP3 Fastigheter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NP3 Fastigheter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NP3 Fastigheter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NP3 Fastigheter Short Properties
NP3 Fastigheter's future price predictability will typically decrease when NP3 Fastigheter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NP3 Fastigheter AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NP3 Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NP3 Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269 M |
Additional Tools for NP3 Stock Analysis
When running NP3 Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure NP3 Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NP3 Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of NP3 Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NP3 Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NP3 Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NP3 Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.