Natural Resource Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NRP Stock | USD 123.80 0.44 0.36% |
Natural Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Natural Resource's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Natural Resource hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natural Resource Partners from the perspective of Natural Resource response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Natural Resource Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 118.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 194.97. Natural Resource after-hype prediction price | USD 123.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Resource to cross-verify your projections. Natural Resource Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Natural Resource Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Natural Resource Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 118.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.20, mean absolute percentage error of 13.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 194.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Natural Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Natural Resource's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Natural Resource Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Natural Resource | Natural Resource Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Natural Resource Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Natural Resource's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Natural Resource's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 117.83 and 120.14, respectively. We have considered Natural Resource's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Natural Resource stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Natural Resource stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7145 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.1963 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0295 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 194.9714 |
Predictive Modules for Natural Resource
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natural Resource Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Natural Resource After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Natural Resource at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Natural Resource or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Natural Resource, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Natural Resource Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Natural Resource's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Natural Resource's historical news coverage. Natural Resource's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 121.90 and 124.20, respectively. We have considered Natural Resource's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Natural Resource is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natural Resource Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Natural Resource Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Natural Resource is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Resource backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Natural Resource, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
123.80 | 123.05 | 0.66 |
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Natural Resource Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 Natural Resource Partners is traded for 123.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Natural is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 123.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.66%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Natural Resource is about 589.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 123.86. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Natural Resource was now reported as 45.69. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.9. Natural Resource Partners last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2025. The entity had 1:10 split on the 18th of February 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Resource to cross-verify your projections.Natural Resource Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Natural Resource's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Natural Resource's future price movements. Getting to know how Natural Resource's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Natural Resource may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INVX | Innovex International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.11 | 4.96 | (3.41) | 12.82 | |
| FLOC | Flowco Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.20 | 4.38 | (2.85) | 10.92 | |
| METC | Ramaco Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.71 | (11.56) | 29.80 | |
| FLNG | FLEX LNG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.05) | 1.83 | (1.83) | 5.41 | |
| VTOL | Bristow Group | 0.65 | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.1 | 3.37 | (2.79) | 7.10 | |
| KRP | Kimbell Royalty Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.01 | 2.40 | (2.41) | 6.29 | |
| WKC | World Kinect | 0.35 | 7 per month | 1.86 | 0.04 | 2.94 | (2.36) | 11.51 | |
| GLP | Global Partners LP | 0.48 | 11 per month | 1.88 | 0.05 | 3.06 | (2.99) | 9.16 | |
| VET | Vermilion Energy | 0.12 | 8 per month | 2.21 | 0.13 | 5.04 | (4.03) | 11.63 | |
| ARRY | Array Technologies | 0.35 | 2 per month | 3.54 | 0.14 | 6.80 | (6.71) | 18.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Natural Resource
For every potential investor in Natural, whether a beginner or expert, Natural Resource's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natural Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natural. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natural Resource's price trends.Natural Resource Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natural Resource stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natural Resource could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Resource by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Natural Resource Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Natural Resource stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Natural Resource shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Natural Resource stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Natural Resource Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1375.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1155 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 125.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 125.07 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.69) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.44 |
Natural Resource Risk Indicators
The analysis of Natural Resource's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natural Resource's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting natural stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8625 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4509 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6769 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2034 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Natural Resource
The number of cover stories for Natural Resource depends on current market conditions and Natural Resource's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natural Resource is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natural Resource's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Natural Resource Short Properties
Natural Resource's future price predictability will typically decrease when Natural Resource's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Natural Resource Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Natural Resource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Resource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.4 M |
Additional Tools for Natural Stock Analysis
When running Natural Resource's price analysis, check to measure Natural Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Resource is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.