Nuvve Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NVVE Stock  USD 3.32  0.10  3.11%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nuvve Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.17. Nuvve Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nuvve Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Nuvve Holding Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nuvve Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Nuvve Holding's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . As of November 22, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 566.1 K. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (23.4 M).

Nuvve Holding Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Nuvve Holding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-03-31
Previous Quarter
1.4 M
Current Value
325.2 K
Quarterly Volatility
17.7 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Nuvve Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nuvve Holding Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nuvve Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nuvve Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuvve Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuvve Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nuvve Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nuvve HoldingNuvve Holding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nuvve Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nuvve Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuvve Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 13.45, respectively. We have considered Nuvve Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.32
2.75
Expected Value
13.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuvve Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuvve Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5028
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3143
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0698
SAESum of the absolute errors19.1742
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nuvve Holding Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nuvve Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nuvve Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuvve Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuvve Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.3414.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.8413.54
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.282.502.78
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nuvve Holding

For every potential investor in Nuvve, whether a beginner or expert, Nuvve Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuvve Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuvve. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuvve Holding's price trends.

Nuvve Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuvve Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuvve Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuvve Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nuvve Holding Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nuvve Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nuvve Holding's current price.

Nuvve Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuvve Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuvve Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuvve Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuvve Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nuvve Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nuvve Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuvve Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuvve stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Nuvve Holding Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nuvve Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nuvve Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nuvve Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuvve Holding. If investors know Nuvve will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nuvve Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(390.25)
Revenue Per Share
19.423
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.62)
Return On Assets
(0.70)
Return On Equity
(2.61)
The market value of Nuvve Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nuvve that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nuvve Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nuvve Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nuvve Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nuvve Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nuvve Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nuvve Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nuvve Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.