Nuvve Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NVVE Stock  USD 1.78  0.20  12.66%   
Nuvve Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nuvve Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Nuvve Holding Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nuvve Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nuvve Holding's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nuvve Holding, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nuvve Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nuvve Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nuvve Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nuvve Holding Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nuvve Holding's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Using Nuvve Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuvve Holding Corp from the perspective of Nuvve Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nuvve Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.02.

Nuvve Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Nuvve Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nuvve price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuvve using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuvve charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Nuvve Holding simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Nuvve Holding Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Nuvve Holding Corp prices get older.

Nuvve Holding Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nuvve Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 3.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuvve Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuvve Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nuvve Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nuvve Holding  Nuvve Holding Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nuvve Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nuvve Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuvve Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 32.48, respectively. We have considered Nuvve Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.78
1.83
Expected Value
32.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuvve Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuvve Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.56
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2673
MADMean absolute deviation0.9837
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1781
SAESum of the absolute errors59.0235
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Nuvve Holding Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Nuvve Holding observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Nuvve Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuvve Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuvve Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5832.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.377.4238.02
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.7525.0027.75
Details

Nuvve Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nuvve Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nuvve Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nuvve Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nuvve Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nuvve Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nuvve Holding's historical news coverage. Nuvve Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 32.18, respectively. We have considered Nuvve Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.78
1.58
After-hype Price
32.18
Upside
Nuvve Holding is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nuvve Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nuvve Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nuvve Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nuvve Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nuvve Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
30.65
  0.01 
  0.25 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.78
1.58
0.00 
43,786  
Notes

Nuvve Holding Hype Timeline

Nuvve Holding Corp is now traded for 1.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Nuvve is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nuvve Holding is about 2587.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.53. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nuvve Holding Corp recorded a loss per share of 284.22. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:40 split on the 15th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Nuvve Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nuvve Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nuvve Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Nuvve Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nuvve Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JFBRJeffs Brands(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 13.75 (17.50) 166.56 
IVPInspire Veterinary Partners 0 10 per month 0.00  0.12  19.05 (43.59) 357,210 
WBUYWEBUY GLOBAL LTD(0.02)4 per month 9.71  0.03  22.73 (11.74) 153.14 
ZOOZWZOOZ Power Ltd 0 9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 20.00 (20.26) 53.33 
FFAIWFaraday Future Intelligent(0.0001)10 per month 0.00 (0) 19.75 (14.21) 52.95 
YYAIConnexa Sports Technologies 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 15.91 (13.82) 45.44 
VMARVision Marine Technologies(11.64)4 per month 0.00 (0.11) 9.84 (24.10) 208.75 
AREBAmerican Rebel Holdings(0.20)9 per month 5.31  0.11  13.04 (11.72) 1,480 
NAASNaas Technology ADR 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.12 (5.01) 21.03 
JWELJowell Global 0.02 32 per month 3.21  0.09  9.57 (6.05) 24.83 

Other Forecasting Options for Nuvve Holding

For every potential investor in Nuvve, whether a beginner or expert, Nuvve Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuvve Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuvve. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuvve Holding's price trends.

Nuvve Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuvve Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuvve Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuvve Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nuvve Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuvve Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuvve Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuvve Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuvve Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nuvve Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nuvve Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuvve Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuvve stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nuvve Holding

The number of cover stories for Nuvve Holding depends on current market conditions and Nuvve Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuvve Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuvve Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nuvve Holding Short Properties

Nuvve Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nuvve Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nuvve Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nuvve Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuvve Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding646.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments371.5 K
When determining whether Nuvve Holding Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nuvve Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nuvve Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nuvve Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.
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Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Nuvve diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuvve Holding. Anticipated expansion of Nuvve directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nuvve Holding data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(284.22)
Revenue Per Share
26.7
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
(1.11)
Return On Equity
(55.85)
Understanding Nuvve Holding Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nuvve's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Nuvve Holding's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nuvve Holding's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nuvve Holding's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nuvve Holding should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nuvve Holding's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.