Nuvve Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

NVVE Stock  USD 1.46  0.21  16.80%   
Nuvve Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nuvve Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Nuvve Holding Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nuvve Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Nuvve Holding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nuvve Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nuvve Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nuvve Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nuvve Holding Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nuvve Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuvve Holding Corp from the perspective of Nuvve Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nuvve Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.89.

Nuvve Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Nuvve Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nuvve price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuvve using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuvve charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Nuvve Holding is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nuvve Holding Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nuvve Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 4.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuvve Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuvve Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nuvve Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nuvve Holding  Nuvve Holding Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nuvve Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nuvve Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuvve Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 32.57, respectively. We have considered Nuvve Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.46
1.46
Expected Value
32.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuvve Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuvve Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8581
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1229
MADMean absolute deviation0.8795
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1459
SAESum of the absolute errors51.89
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nuvve Holding Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nuvve Holding. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nuvve Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuvve Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuvve Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.9033.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.377.3338.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.594.058.69
Details

Nuvve Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nuvve Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nuvve Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nuvve Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nuvve Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nuvve Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nuvve Holding's historical news coverage. Nuvve Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 33.01, respectively. We have considered Nuvve Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.46
1.90
After-hype Price
33.01
Upside
Nuvve Holding is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nuvve Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nuvve Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nuvve Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nuvve Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nuvve Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
31.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.46
1.90
30.14 
0.00  
Notes

Nuvve Holding Hype Timeline

Nuvve Holding Corp is now traded for 1.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nuvve is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 30.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Nuvve Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.46. Nuvve Holding Corp currently holds 10.66 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.2, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Nuvve Holding Corp has a current ratio of 4.23, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nuvve Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Nuvve Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nuvve Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nuvve Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Nuvve Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nuvve Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JFBRJeffs Brands 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 13.75 (17.50) 166.56 
IVPInspire Veterinary Partners 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WBUYWEBUY GLOBAL LTD 0.00 0 per month 11.09  0.03  22.73 (17.02) 153.14 
ZOOZWZOOZ Power Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 25.71 (21.60) 50.24 
FFAIWFaraday Future Intelligent 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 13.33 (14.21) 40.57 
YYAIConnexa Sports Technologies 0.00 0 per month 6.66  0.01  15.91 (10.48) 45.44 
VMARVision Marine Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.51 (24.10) 208.75 
AREBAmerican Rebel Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.37) 10.62 (16.92) 78.60 
NAASNaas Technology ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.02 (5.62) 27.17 
JWELJowell Global 0.00 0 per month 2.76  0.10  8.64 (5.58) 24.83 

Other Forecasting Options for Nuvve Holding

For every potential investor in Nuvve, whether a beginner or expert, Nuvve Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuvve Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuvve. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuvve Holding's price trends.

Nuvve Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuvve Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuvve Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuvve Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nuvve Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuvve Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuvve Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuvve Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuvve Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nuvve Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nuvve Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuvve Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuvve stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nuvve Holding

The number of cover stories for Nuvve Holding depends on current market conditions and Nuvve Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuvve Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuvve Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nuvve Holding Short Properties

Nuvve Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nuvve Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nuvve Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nuvve Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuvve Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding646.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments371.5 K
When determining whether Nuvve Holding Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nuvve Holding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nuvve Holding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nuvve Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvve Holding to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Nuvve diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuvve Holding. Anticipated expansion of Nuvve directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nuvve Holding data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Nuvve Holding Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nuvve's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Nuvve Holding's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nuvve Holding's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nuvve Holding's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nuvve Holding should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nuvve Holding's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.