Ormat Technologies Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| ORA Stock | USD 123.15 1.89 1.56% |
Ormat Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ormat Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Ormat Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ormat Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ormat Technologies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.083 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6484 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1847 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5135 | Wall Street Target Price 127.6 |
Using Ormat Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ormat Technologies from the perspective of Ormat Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ormat Technologies using Ormat Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ormat using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ormat Technologies' stock price.
Ormat Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ormat Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ormat. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ormat Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 96.6727 | Short Percent 0.0789 | Short Ratio 6.43 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 116.3554 |
Ormat Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ormat Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 127.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.79.Ormat Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ormat Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ormat. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ormat can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ormat Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ormat Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ormat Technologies.
Ormat Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Ormat Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ormat Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ormat Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ormat Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ormat Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ormat Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 127.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.79. Ormat Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 123.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ormat Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ormat contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ormat Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Ormat Technologies trading at USD 123.15, that is roughly USD 0.0346 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ormat Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ormat Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Ormat Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ormat Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ormat Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ormat Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ormat Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Ormat Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ormat Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ormat. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ormat Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ormat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ormat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ormat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ormat Technologies Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ormat Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 127.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06, mean absolute percentage error of 5.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ormat Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ormat Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ormat Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ormat Technologies | Ormat Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ormat Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ormat Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ormat Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 126.29 and 129.69, respectively. We have considered Ormat Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ormat Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ormat Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7141 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0611 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.7904 |
Predictive Modules for Ormat Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ormat Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ormat Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ormat Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ormat Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ormat Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ormat Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ormat Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ormat Technologies' historical news coverage. Ormat Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 121.95 and 125.35, respectively. We have considered Ormat Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ormat Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ormat Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ormat Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ormat Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ormat Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ormat Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.70 | 0.50 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
123.15 | 123.65 | 0.41 |
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Ormat Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February Ormat Technologies is traded for 123.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Ormat is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 123.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 47.89%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Ormat Technologies is about 753.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 123.18. The company reported the last year's revenue of 879.65 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 123.73 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 267.42 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ormat Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Ormat Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ormat Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ormat Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Ormat Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ormat Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CWEN | Clearway Energy Class | 0.87 | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.11 | 2.82 | (2.65) | 11.49 | |
| BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.49 | (2.68) | 7.55 | |
| BEP | Brookfield Renewable Partners | (0.49) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.19 | (2.29) | 8.88 | |
| CIG-C | Energy of Minas | 0.03 | 5 per month | 1.96 | 0.03 | 4.09 | (3.09) | 12.96 | |
| CIG | Companhia Energetica de | (0.01) | 6 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 3.00 | (3.20) | 9.11 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.30 | 10 per month | 1.02 | (0.07) | 1.32 | (1.37) | 5.00 | |
| TXNM | TXNM Energy | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.52 | (0.31) | 1.45 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | 0.98 | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.0005 | 1.66 | (1.35) | 4.65 | |
| SWX | Southwest Gas Holdings | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.17 | (0.03) | 1.96 | (1.68) | 5.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ormat Technologies
For every potential investor in Ormat, whether a beginner or expert, Ormat Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ormat Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ormat. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ormat Technologies' price trends.Ormat Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ormat Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ormat Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ormat Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ormat Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ormat Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ormat Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ormat Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ormat Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11433.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9087 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 123.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 123.36 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.64 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.89 |
Ormat Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ormat Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ormat Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ormat stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ormat Technologies
The number of cover stories for Ormat Technologies depends on current market conditions and Ormat Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ormat Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ormat Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ormat Technologies Short Properties
Ormat Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ormat Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ormat Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ormat Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ormat Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ormat Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ormat Stock refer to our How to Trade Ormat Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ormat Technologies. Anticipated expansion of Ormat directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ormat Technologies assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.083 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 2.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.179 |
Understanding Ormat Technologies requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ormat's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ormat Technologies' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ormat Technologies' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ormat Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ormat Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ormat Technologies' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.