Oconee Financial OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| OSBK Stock | USD 46.95 0.00 0.00% |
Oconee OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The value of RSI of Oconee Financial's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 84
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Oconee Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oconee Financial from the perspective of Oconee Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Oconee Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 46.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.25. Oconee Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 46.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oconee |
Oconee Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oconee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oconee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oconee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oconee Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Oconee Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 46.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oconee OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oconee Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oconee Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oconee Financial | Oconee Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Oconee Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oconee Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oconee Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.38 and 47.52, respectively. We have considered Oconee Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oconee Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oconee Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0025 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0597 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.106 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.255 |
Predictive Modules for Oconee Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oconee Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oconee Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oconee Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oconee Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Oconee Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oconee Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oconee Financial's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oconee Financial's historical news coverage. Oconee Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.38 and 47.52, respectively. We have considered Oconee Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oconee Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oconee Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oconee Financial OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Oconee Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oconee Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oconee Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.95 | 46.95 | 0.00 |
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Oconee Financial Hype Timeline
Oconee Financial is now traded for 46.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Oconee is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oconee Financial is about 19000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.95. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oconee Financial last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oconee Financial to cross-verify your projections.Oconee Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oconee Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oconee Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Oconee Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oconee Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALBY | Community Capital Bancshares | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.85 | (0.85) | 4.47 | |
| HCBN | HCB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.28 | (0.16) | 4.33 | |
| WSSH | West Shore Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.86 | (0.43) | 6.26 | |
| OAKV | Oak View National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.01 | 1.97 | (1.13) | 6.83 | |
| WDFN | Woodlands Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.10 | 3.70 | (1.66) | 9.15 | |
| ANDC | Andover Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | (0.03) | 2.16 | (2.63) | 8.35 | |
| LUMB | Lumbee Guaranty Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.37 | |
| TMAK | Touchmark Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.07 | 0.03 | 6.99 | (7.23) | 16.08 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.50 | |
| STBI | Sturgis Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.03 | 2.07 | (1.98) | 4.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oconee Financial
For every potential investor in Oconee, whether a beginner or expert, Oconee Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oconee OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oconee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oconee Financial's price trends.Oconee Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oconee Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oconee Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oconee Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oconee Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oconee Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oconee Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oconee Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oconee Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Oconee Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oconee Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oconee Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oconee otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2103 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5538 | |||
| Variance | 0.3066 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oconee Financial
The number of cover stories for Oconee Financial depends on current market conditions and Oconee Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oconee Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oconee Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oconee Financial Short Properties
Oconee Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oconee Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oconee Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oconee Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oconee Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 897.5 K | |
| Dividends Paid | 582.2 K | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.7 | |
| Shares Float | 377.1 K |
Other Information on Investing in Oconee OTC Stock
Oconee Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oconee OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oconee with respect to the benefits of owning Oconee Financial security.