Pan American Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PAAS Stock | USD 51.04 0.77 1.49% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pan American Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 51.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.03. Pan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Pan American's stock price is slightly above 60 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pan, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.817 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7199 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2154 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6801 | Wall Street Target Price 50 |
Using Pan American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pan American Silver from the perspective of Pan American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pan American using Pan American's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pan American's stock price.
Pan American Short Interest
An investor who is long Pan American may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pan American and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pan American with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.1331 | Short Percent 0.0116 | Short Ratio 1.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 36.6 M | 50 Day MA 42.7916 |
Pan American Silver Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Pan American's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pan American Silver. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pan American's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pan American.
Pan American Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Pan American's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pan American Silver stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pan American's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pan American stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pan American's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pan American Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 51.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.03. Pan American after-hype prediction price | USD 50.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pan American to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Pan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pan American's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pan American's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pan American stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pan American's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pan American's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pan American is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Pan American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pan American Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pan American Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 51.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 2.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pan American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pan American Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pan American | Pan American Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pan American Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pan American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pan American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.39 and 54.69, respectively. We have considered Pan American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pan American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pan American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.479 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3108 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2886 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 76.03 |
Predictive Modules for Pan American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan American Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Pan American
For every potential investor in Pan, whether a beginner or expert, Pan American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pan American's price trends.Pan American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pan American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pan American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pan American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pan American Silver Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pan American's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pan American's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pan American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pan American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pan American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pan American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pan American Silver entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pan American Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pan American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pan American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Variance | 12.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Pan Stock Analysis
When running Pan American's price analysis, check to measure Pan American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan American is operating at the current time. Most of Pan American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.