Penumbra Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| PEN Stock | USD 358.17 1.17 0.33% |
Penumbra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Penumbra's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Penumbra's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Penumbra fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Penumbra's share price is above 70 as of today indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Penumbra, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.56 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1162 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7841 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0469 | Wall Street Target Price 348.5333 |
Using Penumbra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penumbra from the perspective of Penumbra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penumbra using Penumbra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penumbra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penumbra's stock price.
Penumbra Short Interest
An investor who is long Penumbra may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Penumbra and may potentially protect profits, hedge Penumbra with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 273.7972 | Short Percent 0.0612 | Short Ratio 1.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 316.1202 |
Penumbra Relative Strength Index
Penumbra Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Penumbra's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penumbra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penumbra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penumbra. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penumbra's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penumbra.
Penumbra Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
Penumbra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penumbra stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penumbra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penumbra stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penumbra's options are near their expiration.
Penumbra after-hype prediction price | USD 358.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penumbra to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Penumbra contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Penumbra will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Penumbra trading at USD 358.17, that is roughly USD 0.0627 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Penumbra's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Penumbra options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Penumbra Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Penumbra's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Penumbra's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Penumbra stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Penumbra's open interest, investors have to compare it to Penumbra's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Penumbra is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Penumbra. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Penumbra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penumbra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penumbra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penumbra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.60) | (0.04) |
| Check Penumbra Volatility | Backtest Penumbra | Information Ratio |
Penumbra Trading Date Momentum
| On February 03 2026 Penumbra was traded for 358.17 at the closing time. Highest Penumbra's price during the trading hours was 360.44 and the lowest price during the day was 357.16 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 3rd of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.01% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Penumbra to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Penumbra
For every potential investor in Penumbra, whether a beginner or expert, Penumbra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Penumbra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Penumbra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Penumbra's price trends.Penumbra Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Penumbra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Penumbra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penumbra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Penumbra Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Penumbra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Penumbra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Penumbra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Penumbra entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Penumbra Risk Indicators
The analysis of Penumbra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Penumbra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penumbra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Variance | 10.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Penumbra
The number of cover stories for Penumbra depends on current market conditions and Penumbra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penumbra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penumbra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Penumbra Short Properties
Penumbra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Penumbra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penumbra often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penumbra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penumbra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 340.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penumbra to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Penumbra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Penumbra guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Penumbra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penumbra. Anticipated expansion of Penumbra directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Penumbra data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.56 | Earnings Share 4.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.178 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Penumbra using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Penumbra's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Penumbra's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Penumbra's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penumbra should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Penumbra's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.