Perpetua Resources Stock Forward View
| PPTA Stock | USD 27.39 0.77 2.89% |
Perpetua Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Perpetua Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Perpetua Resources Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Perpetua Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Perpetua Resources' share price is approaching 48 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perpetua Resources, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.45) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 33.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.03) |
Using Perpetua Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perpetua Resources Corp from the perspective of Perpetua Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perpetua Resources using Perpetua Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perpetua using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perpetua Resources' stock price.
Perpetua Resources Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Perpetua Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Perpetua. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Perpetua Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 20.0111 | Short Percent 0.1193 | Short Ratio 6.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.2 M | 50 Day MA 27.7186 |
Perpetua Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perpetua Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.19.Perpetua Resources Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Perpetua Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perpetua. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perpetua can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perpetua Resources Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Perpetua Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Perpetua Resources.
Perpetua Resources Implied Volatility | 1.36 |
Perpetua Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perpetua Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perpetua Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perpetua Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perpetua Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perpetua Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.19. Perpetua Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 27.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perpetua Resources to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perpetua contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perpetua Resources Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.085% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Perpetua Resources trading at USD 27.39, that is roughly USD 0.0233 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perpetua Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perpetua Resources Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Perpetua Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Perpetua Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Perpetua Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Perpetua Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Perpetua Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to Perpetua Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Perpetua Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Perpetua. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Perpetua Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perpetua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perpetua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perpetua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perpetua Resources Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Perpetua Resources' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 425.4 M | Current Value 445.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 76.3 M |
Perpetua Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perpetua Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 1.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perpetua Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perpetua Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perpetua Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perpetua Resources | Perpetua Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Perpetua Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perpetua Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perpetua Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.88 and 28.29, respectively. We have considered Perpetua Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perpetua Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perpetua Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4981 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0353 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0396 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.1867 |
Predictive Modules for Perpetua Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perpetua Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perpetua Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Perpetua Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perpetua Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perpetua Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perpetua Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perpetua Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perpetua Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perpetua Resources' historical news coverage. Perpetua Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.72 and 32.06, respectively. We have considered Perpetua Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perpetua Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perpetua Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perpetua Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perpetua Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perpetua Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perpetua Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 4.71 | 0.34 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.39 | 27.39 | 0.00 |
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Perpetua Resources Hype Timeline
Perpetua Resources Corp is at this time traded for 27.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Perpetua is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perpetua Resources is about 5010.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.34. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.44. Perpetua Resources Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of January 2021. The entity had 1:10 split on the 29th of January 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perpetua Resources to cross-verify your projections.Perpetua Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perpetua Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perpetua Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Perpetua Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perpetua Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXK | Endeavour Silver Corp | 0.28 | 10 per month | 4.18 | 0.10 | 9.31 | (5.34) | 32.14 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | (0.45) | 10 per month | 3.15 | 0.09 | 4.51 | (3.97) | 25.09 | |
| AUGO | Aura Minerals Common | (0.49) | 9 per month | 3.17 | 0.31 | 6.74 | (4.13) | 15.74 | |
| SA | Seabridge Gold | (0.14) | 6 per month | 4.05 | 0.08 | 6.36 | (5.96) | 28.57 | |
| ELVR | Sayona Mining Limited | (0.12) | 16 per month | 4.72 | 0.19 | 9.90 | (6.81) | 31.67 | |
| CGAU | Centerra Gold | (0.45) | 4 per month | 2.92 | 0.20 | 5.00 | (4.58) | 26.35 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | (0.12) | 16 per month | 1.71 | 0.07 | 6.20 | (3.06) | 11.47 | |
| USAS | Americas Silver Corp | (0.26) | 9 per month | 4.64 | 0.16 | 9.55 | (6.99) | 33.15 | |
| TMC | TMC the metals | 0.78 | 8 per month | 6.41 | 0.02 | 13.46 | (10.70) | 37.07 | |
| SID | Companhia Siderurgica Nacional | 0.03 | 9 per month | 3.06 | 0.04 | 5.56 | (5.79) | 15.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perpetua Resources
For every potential investor in Perpetua, whether a beginner or expert, Perpetua Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perpetua Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perpetua. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perpetua Resources' price trends.Perpetua Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perpetua Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perpetua Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perpetua Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perpetua Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perpetua Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perpetua Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perpetua Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perpetua Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Perpetua Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perpetua Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perpetua Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perpetua stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Variance | 23.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.73) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perpetua Resources
The number of cover stories for Perpetua Resources depends on current market conditions and Perpetua Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perpetua Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perpetua Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perpetua Resources Short Properties
Perpetua Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Perpetua Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perpetua Resources Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perpetua Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perpetua Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perpetua Resources to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perpetua Resources. Anticipated expansion of Perpetua directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Perpetua Resources assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Perpetua Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perpetua that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perpetua Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perpetua Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perpetua Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perpetua Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Perpetua Resources' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Perpetua Resources should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Perpetua Resources' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.