Permian Resources Stock Forward View
| PR Stock | USD 16.13 0.08 0.50% |
Permian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Permian Resources' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Permian Resources' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Permian Resources fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Permian Resources' share price is above 70 as of today indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Permian, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2617 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3009 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0898 | Wall Street Target Price 18.381 |
Using Permian Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Permian Resources from the perspective of Permian Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Permian Resources using Permian Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Permian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Permian Resources' stock price.
Permian Resources Short Interest
An investor who is long Permian Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Permian Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Permian Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.5441 | Short Percent 0.0382 | Short Ratio 2.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 29.3 M | 50 Day MA 14.3842 |
Permian Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Permian Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 16.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97.Permian Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Permian Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Permian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Permian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Permian Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Permian Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Permian Resources.
Permian Resources Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Permian Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Permian Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Permian Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Permian Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Permian Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Permian Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 16.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97. Permian Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 16.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Permian Resources to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Permian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Permian Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Permian Resources trading at USD 16.13, that is roughly USD 0.005141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Permian Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Permian Resources options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Permian Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Permian Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Permian Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Permian Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Permian Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to Permian Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Permian Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Permian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Permian Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Permian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Permian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Permian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Permian Resources Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Permian Resources' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2013-03-31 | Previous Quarter 451 M | Current Value 111.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 138.8 M |
Permian Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Permian Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 16.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Permian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Permian Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Permian Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Permian Resources | Permian Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Permian Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Permian Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Permian Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.60 and 18.55, respectively. We have considered Permian Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Permian Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Permian Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1788 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1798 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0128 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.967 |
Predictive Modules for Permian Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Permian Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Permian Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Permian Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Permian Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Permian Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Permian Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Permian Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Permian Resources' historical news coverage. Permian Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.16 and 18.10, respectively. We have considered Permian Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Permian Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Permian Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Permian Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Permian Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Permian Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Permian Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 1.97 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.13 | 16.13 | 0.00 |
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Permian Resources Hype Timeline
As of February 2, 2026 Permian Resources is listed for 16.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Permian is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Permian Resources is about 920.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.03. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Permian Resources last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Permian Resources to cross-verify your projections.Permian Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Permian Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Permian Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Permian Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Permian Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | (0.21) | 9 per month | 2.14 | (0.0003) | 3.16 | (3.01) | 9.60 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | (0.25) | 10 per month | 2.10 | 0.07 | 4.70 | (3.50) | 14.33 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.11 | 3.64 | (3.04) | 8.85 | |
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | (0.69) | 8 per month | 2.21 | 0.06 | 3.99 | (3.89) | 12.23 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.07) | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.06 | 1.82 | (1.86) | 5.96 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | (0.82) | 3 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 1.75 | (1.77) | 5.00 | |
| VIST | Vista Oil Gas | (1.66) | 9 per month | 1.93 | 0.14 | 4.21 | (3.43) | 11.61 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | 0.36 | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.09 | 3.10 | (4.01) | 9.03 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.84 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.90 | (2.86) | 7.95 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | 0.45 | 11 per month | 1.03 | 0.01 | 1.72 | (1.54) | 5.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Permian Resources
For every potential investor in Permian, whether a beginner or expert, Permian Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Permian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Permian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Permian Resources' price trends.Permian Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Permian Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Permian Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Permian Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Permian Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Permian Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Permian Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Permian Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Permian Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Permian Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Permian Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Permian Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting permian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Permian Resources
The number of cover stories for Permian Resources depends on current market conditions and Permian Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Permian Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Permian Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Permian Resources Short Properties
Permian Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Permian Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Permian Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Permian Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Permian Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 684.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 479.3 M |
Additional Tools for Permian Stock Analysis
When running Permian Resources' price analysis, check to measure Permian Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Permian Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Permian Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Permian Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Permian Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Permian Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.