PayPal Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PYPL Stock | USD 59.81 0.52 0.88% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PayPal Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 56.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.93. PayPal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although PayPal Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PayPal Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PayPal Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of PayPal Holdings' share price is approaching 45 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PayPal Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.313 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3087 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3536 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8002 | Wall Street Target Price 77.4818 |
Using PayPal Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PayPal Holdings from the perspective of PayPal Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PayPal Holdings using PayPal Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PayPal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PayPal Holdings' stock price.
PayPal Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long PayPal Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PayPal Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge PayPal Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 67.957 | Short Percent 0.047 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 40.2 M | 50 Day MA 63.2461 |
PayPal Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PayPal Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PayPal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PayPal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PayPal Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PayPal Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PayPal Holdings.
PayPal Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
PayPal Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PayPal Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PayPal Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PayPal Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when PayPal Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PayPal Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 56.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.93. PayPal Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 59.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PayPal Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 PayPal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PayPal Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PayPal Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PayPal Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PayPal Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to PayPal Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PayPal Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PayPal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PayPal Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PayPal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PayPal using various technical indicators. When you analyze PayPal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PayPal Holdings Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the PayPal Holdings' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2013-12-31 | Previous Quarter 6.7 B | Current Value 9 B | Quarterly Volatility 2.7 B |
PayPal Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PayPal Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 56.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.31, mean absolute percentage error of 2.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PayPal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PayPal Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PayPal Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PayPal Holdings | PayPal Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PayPal Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PayPal Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PayPal Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.69 and 58.86, respectively. We have considered PayPal Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PayPal Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PayPal Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.162 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3103 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.9257 |
Predictive Modules for PayPal Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PayPal Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for PayPal Holdings
For every potential investor in PayPal, whether a beginner or expert, PayPal Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PayPal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PayPal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PayPal Holdings' price trends.PayPal Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PayPal Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PayPal Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PayPal Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PayPal Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PayPal Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PayPal Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PayPal Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PayPal Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PayPal Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PayPal Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PayPal Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PayPal Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of PayPal Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PayPal Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paypal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PayPal Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy PayPal Stock please use our How to buy in PayPal Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PayPal Holdings. If investors know PayPal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PayPal Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.313 | Dividend Share 0.14 | Earnings Share 4.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 |
The market value of PayPal Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PayPal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PayPal Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PayPal Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PayPal Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PayPal Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PayPal Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PayPal Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PayPal Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.