Paypal Holdings Stock Performance
| PYPL Stock | USD 39.90 1.13 2.75% |
The company holds a Beta of 1.59, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PayPal Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, PayPal Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.79%. Please make sure to check PayPal Holdings' potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if PayPal Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days PayPal Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.75) | Five Day Return (23.91) | Year To Date Return (31.37) | Ten Year Return 13.77 | All Time Return 8.69 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0134 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.56 | Dividend Date 2025-12-10 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-11-19 |
| PayPal Holdings dividend paid on 10th of December 2025 | 12/10/2025 |
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4 | Visa Deepens Digital Payment Role With Stablecoins Rent And Crypto Flows | 01/30/2026 |
5 | PayPal Q4 Earnings Call Highlights | 02/03/2026 |
6 | Affirm Reports Bullish Q4 CY2025 | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 21.2 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 797 M |
PayPal Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,610 in PayPal Holdings on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,620) from holding PayPal Holdings or give up 39.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. PayPal Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.9952% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than PayPal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
PayPal Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of PayPal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 39.90 | 90 days | 39.90 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PayPal Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PayPal Holdings probability density function shows the probability of PayPal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
PayPal Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PayPal Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PayPal Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PayPal Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PayPal Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PayPal Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PayPal Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PayPal Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
PayPal Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PayPal Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PayPal Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PayPal Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of December 2025 PayPal Holdings paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Affirm Reports Bullish Q4 CY2025 |
PayPal Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PayPal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PayPal Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PayPal Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 968 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.4 B |
PayPal Holdings Fundamentals Growth
PayPal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PayPal Holdings, and PayPal Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PayPal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0494 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 49.48 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 920.66 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 40.65 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.42 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.16 X | ||||
| Revenue | 33.34 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 13.76 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 7.7 B | ||||
| Net Income | 5.23 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 10.85 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 9.52 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 9.99 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.56 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.27 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 22.02 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 6.42 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.32 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 38.39 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 80.17 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 32.47 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 12.72 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 20.65 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 13.62 B | ||||
About PayPal Holdings Performance
By examining PayPal Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into PayPal Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that PayPal Holdings is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | 0.27 |
Things to note about PayPal Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about PayPal Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PayPal Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PayPal Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of December 2025 PayPal Holdings paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Affirm Reports Bullish Q4 CY2025 |
- Analyzing PayPal Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PayPal Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining PayPal Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating PayPal Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PayPal Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PayPal Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into PayPal Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in PayPal Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. For more information on how to buy PayPal Stock please use our How to buy in PayPal Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PayPal Holdings. Anticipated expansion of PayPal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive PayPal Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share 5.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of PayPal Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PayPal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PayPal Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PayPal Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PayPal Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PayPal Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between PayPal Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PayPal Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, PayPal Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.