Ferrari NV Stock Forward View
| RACE Stock | USD 374.99 4.09 1.08% |
Ferrari Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ferrari NV stock prices and determine the direction of Ferrari NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ferrari NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ferrari NV's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ferrari NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ferrari NV from the perspective of Ferrari NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ferrari NV on the next trading day is expected to be 414.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 369.76. Ferrari NV after-hype prediction price | USD 375.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ferrari NV to cross-verify your projections. Ferrari NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ferrari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ferrari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ferrari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ferrari NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ferrari NV on the next trading day is expected to be 414.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.06, mean absolute percentage error of 65.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 369.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ferrari Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ferrari NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ferrari NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ferrari NV | Ferrari NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ferrari NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ferrari NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ferrari NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 412.58 and 416.57, respectively. We have considered Ferrari NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ferrari NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ferrari NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.2895 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0616 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 369.7578 |
Predictive Modules for Ferrari NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ferrari NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ferrari NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ferrari NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ferrari NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ferrari NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ferrari NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ferrari NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ferrari NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ferrari NV's historical news coverage. Ferrari NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 373.83 and 377.83, respectively. We have considered Ferrari NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ferrari NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ferrari NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ferrari NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ferrari NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ferrari NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ferrari NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
374.99 | 375.83 | 0.01 |
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Ferrari NV Hype Timeline
Ferrari NV is at this time traded for 374.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ferrari is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 375.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Ferrari NV is about 8652.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 374.99. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.15 B. Net Income was 1.6 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.63 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ferrari NV to cross-verify your projections.Ferrari NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ferrari NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ferrari NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Ferrari NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ferrari NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GM | General Motors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 3.93 | (2.65) | 12.98 | |
| MAR | Marriott International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.19 | 3.31 | (1.47) | 9.52 | |
| ORLY | OReilly Automotive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.92 | (2.49) | 7.73 | |
| F | Ford Motor | 0.23 | 5 per month | 1.18 | 0.04 | 3.34 | (2.30) | 7.16 | |
| CVNA | Carvana Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.25 | 0.03 | 6.14 | (5.47) | 26.23 | |
| AZO | AutoZone | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.51 | (3.01) | 9.68 | |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.17 | 2.63 | (2.34) | 7.52 | |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.11 | 6.28 | (3.90) | 24.81 | |
| ABNB | Airbnb Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.03 | 0.05 | 2.77 | (2.68) | 10.66 | |
| ROST | Ross Stores | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.22 | 1.97 | (1.02) | 11.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ferrari NV
For every potential investor in Ferrari, whether a beginner or expert, Ferrari NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ferrari Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ferrari. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ferrari NV's price trends.Ferrari NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ferrari NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ferrari NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ferrari NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ferrari NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ferrari NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ferrari NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ferrari NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ferrari NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8245.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.76) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 375.29 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 375.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.35) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.09) |
Ferrari NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ferrari NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ferrari NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ferrari stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Variance | 3.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ferrari NV
The number of cover stories for Ferrari NV depends on current market conditions and Ferrari NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ferrari NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ferrari NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Ferrari NV Short Properties
Ferrari NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ferrari NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ferrari NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ferrari NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ferrari NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ferrari NV to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ferrari Stock refer to our How to Trade Ferrari Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Ferrari diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ferrari NV. Anticipated expansion of Ferrari directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ferrari NV data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Ferrari NV requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ferrari's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ferrari NV's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ferrari NV's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ferrari NV's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ferrari NV should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ferrari NV's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.