RBB Bancorp Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RBB Stock  USD 23.85  0.07  0.29%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RBB Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.42. RBB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RBB Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of RBB Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RBB Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, RBB Bancorp's Receivables Turnover is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.04, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to (0.01). . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 19.2 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 77.7 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for RBB Bancorp works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

RBB Bancorp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RBB Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RBB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RBB Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RBB Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

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RBB Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RBB Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RBB Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.89 and 25.73, respectively. We have considered RBB Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.85
23.81
Expected Value
25.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RBB Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RBB Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0786
MADMean absolute deviation0.3292
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors19.42
When RBB Bancorp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any RBB Bancorp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent RBB Bancorp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for RBB Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RBB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9523.8725.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3719.2926.24
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.7015.0516.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.360.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RBB Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RBB Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RBB Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RBB Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for RBB Bancorp

For every potential investor in RBB, whether a beginner or expert, RBB Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RBB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RBB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RBB Bancorp's price trends.

RBB Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RBB Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RBB Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RBB Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RBB Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RBB Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RBB Bancorp's current price.

RBB Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RBB Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RBB Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RBB Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RBB Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RBB Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of RBB Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RBB Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rbb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether RBB Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of RBB Bancorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rbb Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rbb Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBB Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade RBB Stock refer to our How to Trade RBB Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RBB Bancorp. If investors know RBB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RBB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
0.64
Earnings Share
1.86
Revenue Per Share
6.278
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of RBB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RBB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RBB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RBB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RBB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RBB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RBB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RBB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RBB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.