Republic Bancorp Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RBCAA Stock | USD 72.93 0.49 0.67% |
Republic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Republic Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Republic Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Republic Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Republic Bancorp's share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Republic Bancorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.199 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.275 | Wall Street Target Price 75 |
Using Republic Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Republic Bancorp from the perspective of Republic Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Republic Bancorp using Republic Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Republic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Republic Bancorp's stock price.
Republic Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Republic Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Republic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Republic Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 70.9975 | Short Percent 0.0125 | Short Ratio 3.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 85.7 K | 50 Day MA 70.4434 |
Republic Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Republic Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 73.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.50.Republic Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Republic Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Republic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Republic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Republic Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Republic Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Republic Bancorp.
Republic Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Republic Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Republic Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Republic Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Republic Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Republic Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Republic Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 73.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.50. Republic Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 72.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Republic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Republic Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Republic Bancorp trading at USD 72.93, that is roughly USD 0.0251 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Republic Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Republic Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Republic Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Republic Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Republic Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Republic Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Republic Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Republic Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Republic Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Republic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Republic Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Republic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Republic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Republic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Republic Bancorp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Republic Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 73.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Republic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Republic Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Republic Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Republic Bancorp | Republic Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Republic Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Republic Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Republic Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.49 and 74.86, respectively. We have considered Republic Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Republic Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Republic Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9988 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1943 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0084 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.495 |
Predictive Modules for Republic Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Republic Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Republic Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Republic Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Republic Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Republic Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Republic Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Republic Bancorp's historical news coverage. Republic Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.23 and 74.63, respectively. We have considered Republic Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Republic Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Republic Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Republic Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Republic Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Republic Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Republic Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.69 | 0.49 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.93 | 72.93 | 0.67 |
|
Republic Bancorp Hype Timeline
Republic Bancorp is at this time traded for 72.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Republic is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 72.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 65.25%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Republic Bancorp is about 894.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.97. About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.3. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Republic Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.75. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.72. The firm last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2026. Republic Bancorp had 105:100 split on the 21st of March 2007. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Republic Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Republic Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Republic Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Republic Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Republic Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | 0.21 | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.17 | 2.83 | (1.74) | 8.45 | |
| BY | Byline Bancorp | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.16 | 2.74 | (1.88) | 7.43 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.09 | 3.61 | (2.13) | 10.00 | |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 2.18 | 6 per month | 1.14 | 0.04 | 2.95 | (1.77) | 7.61 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.42 | (2.14) | 12.44 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | (0.66) | 29 per month | 1.87 | 0.12 | 3.49 | (2.36) | 10.98 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.07 | 3.40 | (2.26) | 7.45 | |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.1 | 2.92 | (2.16) | 7.90 | |
| STBA | ST Bancorp | 0.90 | 8 per month | 1.37 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (2.81) | 9.17 | |
| WAFD | Washington Federal | (0.58) | 11 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 3.19 | (2.74) | 7.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Republic Bancorp
For every potential investor in Republic, whether a beginner or expert, Republic Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Republic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Republic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Republic Bancorp's price trends.Republic Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Republic Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Republic Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Republic Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Republic Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Republic Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Republic Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Republic Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Republic Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Republic Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Republic Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Republic Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting republic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Republic Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Republic Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Republic Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Republic Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Republic Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Republic Stock refer to our How to Trade Republic Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Republic Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Republic directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Republic Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.199 | Dividend Share 1.804 | Earnings Share 6.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
The market value of Republic Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Republic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Republic Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Republic Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Republic Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Republic Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Republic Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Republic Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Republic Bancorp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.