Recon Technology Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| RCON Stock | USD 1.39 0.08 6.11% |
Recon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Recon Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Recon Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Recon Technology fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Recon Technology's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Recon Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.00) | Wall Street Target Price 2.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
Using Recon Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Recon Technology from the perspective of Recon Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Recon Technology using Recon Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Recon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Recon Technology's stock price.
Recon Technology Implied Volatility | 2.74 |
Recon Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Recon Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Recon Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Recon Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Recon Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Recon Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.74. Recon Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 1.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Recon Technology to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Recon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Recon Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Recon Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Recon Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Recon Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Recon Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Recon Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Recon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Recon Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Recon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Recon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Recon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Recon Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Recon Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Recon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Recon Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Recon Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Recon Technology | Recon Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Recon Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Recon Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Recon Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.53, respectively. We have considered Recon Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Recon Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Recon Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4398 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0778 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0566 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.7436 |
Predictive Modules for Recon Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Recon Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Recon Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Recon Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Recon Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Recon Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Recon Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Recon Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Recon Technology's historical news coverage. Recon Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.42, respectively. We have considered Recon Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Recon Technology is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Recon Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Recon Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Recon Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Recon Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Recon Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 4.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.39 | 1.39 | 0.00 |
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Recon Technology Hype Timeline
Recon Technology is at this time traded for 1.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Recon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Recon Technology is about 11277.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.39. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Recon Technology recorded a loss per share of 0.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. The firm had 1:18 split on the 1st of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Recon Technology to cross-verify your projections.Recon Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Recon Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Recon Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Recon Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Recon Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DWSN | Dawson Geophysical | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.46 | (5.56) | 16.23 | |
| SPRU | Spruce Power Holding | (0.15) | 18 per month | 5.32 | 0.14 | 13.68 | (7.19) | 81.84 | |
| PED | PEDEVCO Corp | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.00 | (7.27) | 16.10 | |
| SMXT | Solarmax Technology Common | 0.01 | 3 per month | 5.53 | 0.0009 | 10.23 | (10.20) | 29.70 | |
| KLXE | KLX Energy Services | (0.20) | 8 per month | 4.44 | 0.12 | 10.85 | (7.26) | 31.70 | |
| USEG | US Energy Corp | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.07 | (5.65) | 13.11 | |
| INDO | Indonesia Energy | 0.35 | 7 per month | 4.55 | 0.09 | 10.28 | (7.12) | 29.54 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | (0.18) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.76 | (6.48) | 19.03 | |
| NINE | Nine Energy Service | (0.03) | 5 per month | 7.51 | (0) | 17.02 | (11.11) | 40.03 | |
| BEEM | Beam Global | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.88 | (7.61) | 19.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Recon Technology
For every potential investor in Recon, whether a beginner or expert, Recon Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Recon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Recon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Recon Technology's price trends.Recon Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Recon Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Recon Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Recon Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Recon Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Recon Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Recon Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Recon Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Recon Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Recon Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Recon Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Recon Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting recon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Variance | 18.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Recon Technology
The number of cover stories for Recon Technology depends on current market conditions and Recon Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Recon Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Recon Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Recon Technology Short Properties
Recon Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Recon Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Recon Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Recon Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Recon Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 102.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Recon Technology to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Recon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Recon Technology guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could Recon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Recon Technology. Anticipated expansion of Recon directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Recon Technology data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.63) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Recon Technology using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Recon Technology's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Recon Technology's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Recon Technology's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Recon Technology should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Recon Technology's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.