Radiant Logistics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| RLGT Stock | USD 6.48 0.22 3.28% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Radiant Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.35. Radiant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Radiant Logistics' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1005 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2654 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3369 | Wall Street Target Price 8.3333 |
Using Radiant Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Radiant Logistics from the perspective of Radiant Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Radiant Logistics using Radiant Logistics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Radiant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Radiant Logistics' stock price.
Radiant Logistics Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Radiant Logistics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Radiant Logistics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Radiant Logistics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Radiant Logistics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Radiant Logistics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Radiant Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.35. Radiant Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 6.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Radiant Logistics to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Radiant Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Radiant Logistics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Radiant Logistics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Radiant Logistics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Radiant Logistics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Radiant Logistics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Radiant Logistics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Radiant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Radiant Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Radiant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Radiant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Radiant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Radiant Logistics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Radiant Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Radiant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Radiant Logistics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Radiant Logistics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Radiant Logistics | Radiant Logistics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Radiant Logistics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Radiant Logistics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Radiant Logistics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.65 and 8.31, respectively. We have considered Radiant Logistics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Radiant Logistics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Radiant Logistics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2576 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0122 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0907 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.35 |
Predictive Modules for Radiant Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radiant Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Radiant Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Radiant Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Radiant Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Radiant Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Radiant Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Radiant Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Radiant Logistics' historical news coverage. Radiant Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.66 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered Radiant Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Radiant Logistics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Radiant Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Radiant Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Radiant Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Radiant Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Radiant Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.83 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.48 | 6.49 | 0.15 |
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Radiant Logistics Hype Timeline
Radiant Logistics is at this time traded for 6.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Radiant is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Radiant Logistics is about 2287.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.47. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 902.7 M. Net Income was 17.44 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 157.86 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Radiant Logistics to cross-verify your projections.Radiant Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Radiant Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Radiant Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Radiant Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Radiant Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OFLX | Omega Flex | 0.43 | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.08 | 3.87 | (2.79) | 11.55 | |
| CIX | CompX International | (1.67) | 8 per month | 2.01 | 0.01 | 3.07 | (2.51) | 19.01 | |
| QUAD | Quad Graphics | 0.05 | 8 per month | 3.18 | 0.02 | 3.33 | (4.72) | 14.67 | |
| NL | NL Industries | (0.18) | 7 per month | 2.41 | 0.03 | 5.51 | (4.82) | 20.34 | |
| FSTR | LB Foster | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.55 | 0.04 | 3.75 | (2.79) | 11.26 | |
| BNC | CEA Industries | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.58 | (9.22) | 35.96 | |
| PKOH | Park Ohio Holdings | 0.05 | 17 per month | 2.40 | 0.05 | 4.77 | (3.60) | 14.74 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.15 | 4.20 | (2.81) | 27.65 | |
| CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.24 | 5 per month | 1.69 | 0.07 | 2.75 | (1.82) | 14.66 | |
| PANL | Pangaea Logistic | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.21 | 5.11 | (2.91) | 22.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Radiant Logistics
For every potential investor in Radiant, whether a beginner or expert, Radiant Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Radiant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Radiant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Radiant Logistics' price trends.Radiant Logistics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Radiant Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Radiant Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Radiant Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Radiant Logistics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Radiant Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Radiant Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Radiant Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Radiant Logistics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Radiant Logistics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Radiant Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Radiant Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting radiant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Variance | 3.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Radiant Logistics
The number of cover stories for Radiant Logistics depends on current market conditions and Radiant Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Radiant Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Radiant Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Radiant Logistics Short Properties
Radiant Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Radiant Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Radiant Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Radiant Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radiant Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.9 M |
Additional Tools for Radiant Stock Analysis
When running Radiant Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Radiant Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radiant Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Radiant Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radiant Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radiant Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radiant Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.