Rheinmetall Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

RNMBF Stock  USD 2,195  94.65  4.51%   
Rheinmetall Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rheinmetall's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Rheinmetall's share price is at 56 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rheinmetall, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rheinmetall's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rheinmetall and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rheinmetall's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rheinmetall AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Rheinmetall hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rheinmetall AG from the perspective of Rheinmetall response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Rheinmetall AG on the next trading day is expected to be 2,310 with a mean absolute deviation of 79.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,945.

Rheinmetall after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2195.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rheinmetall to cross-verify your projections.

Rheinmetall Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rheinmetall price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rheinmetall using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rheinmetall charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Rheinmetall polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Rheinmetall AG as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Rheinmetall Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Rheinmetall AG on the next trading day is expected to be 2,310 with a mean absolute deviation of 79.76, mean absolute percentage error of 8,451, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,945.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rheinmetall Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rheinmetall's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rheinmetall Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rheinmetall  Rheinmetall Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Rheinmetall Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rheinmetall's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rheinmetall's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,307 and 2,313, respectively. We have considered Rheinmetall's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,195
2,310
Expected Value
2,313
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rheinmetall pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rheinmetall pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.9904
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation79.7582
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.041
SAESum of the absolute errors4945.0089
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Rheinmetall historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Rheinmetall

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rheinmetall AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,1922,1952,198
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7341,7372,414
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,7092,0502,390
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rheinmetall. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rheinmetall's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rheinmetall's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rheinmetall AG.

Rheinmetall After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rheinmetall at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rheinmetall or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rheinmetall, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rheinmetall Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rheinmetall's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rheinmetall's historical news coverage. Rheinmetall's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,192 and 2,198, respectively. We have considered Rheinmetall's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2,195
2,195
After-hype Price
2,198
Upside
Rheinmetall is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rheinmetall AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rheinmetall Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rheinmetall is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rheinmetall backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rheinmetall, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
3.10
 0.00  
  0.32 
0 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,195
2,195
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Rheinmetall Hype Timeline

Rheinmetall AG is at this time traded for 2,195. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.32. Rheinmetall is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rheinmetall is about 230.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,195. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Rheinmetall was at this time reported as 59.75. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.47. Rheinmetall AG last dividend was issued on the 11th of May 2022. The entity had 10:1 split on the 29th of September 1997. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rheinmetall to cross-verify your projections.

Rheinmetall Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rheinmetall's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rheinmetall's future price movements. Getting to know how Rheinmetall's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rheinmetall may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LMTLockheed Martin 10.17 6 per month 1.32  0.15  2.91 (2.25) 7.74 
BAESYBAE Systems PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.49  0.08  3.66 (2.15) 8.78 
QNTQYQinetiq Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 2.17  0.07  4.56 (4.14) 10.66 
FINMYLeonardo SpA ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.93  0.09  4.01 (3.34) 9.46 
EADSYAirbus Group NV 0.00 0 per month 1.45 (0.04) 2.36 (2.02) 8.98 
HEI-AHEICO(8.63)15 per month 1.13  0.03  2.63 (1.95) 8.77 
TDGTransdigm Group Incorporated 38.28 8 per month 0.87  0.05  1.95 (1.73) 5.06 
LHXL3Harris Technologies 3.34 8 per month 1.07  0.17  3.09 (2.27) 7.10 
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries 6.56 8 per month 1.19  0.26  4.34 (2.56) 10.50 
AVAVAeroVironment(39.11)8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.91 (7.75) 31.86 
KTOSKratos Defense Security(0.33)25 per month 3.80  0.12  8.14 (6.29) 20.15 
AXONAxon Enterprise 6.51 8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.98 (2.88) 12.16 
EVEXEve Holding(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.46 (5.65) 19.07 
HEIHeico 0.66 9 per month 1.22  0.04  2.42 (2.28) 8.20 
RTXRaytheon Technologies Corp(4.29)8 per month 1.15  0.09  2.10 (2.10) 6.02 
NOCNorthrop Grumman 5.19 7 per month 1.42  0.08  2.85 (1.69) 9.88 
GDGeneral Dynamics 4.60 7 per month 1.17  0.04  2.00 (2.00) 7.72 

Other Forecasting Options for Rheinmetall

For every potential investor in Rheinmetall, whether a beginner or expert, Rheinmetall's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rheinmetall Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rheinmetall. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rheinmetall's price trends.

View Rheinmetall Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rheinmetall Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rheinmetall pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rheinmetall shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rheinmetall pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rheinmetall AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rheinmetall Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rheinmetall's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rheinmetall's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rheinmetall pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Rheinmetall

The number of cover stories for Rheinmetall depends on current market conditions and Rheinmetall's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rheinmetall is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rheinmetall's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Rheinmetall Pink Sheet

Rheinmetall financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rheinmetall Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rheinmetall with respect to the benefits of owning Rheinmetall security.