Axon Enterprise Stock Price Prediction
| AXON Stock | USD 605.07 8.07 1.32% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6531 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.3143 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.5382 | Wall Street Target Price 815 |
Using Axon Enterprise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axon Enterprise from the perspective of Axon Enterprise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Axon Enterprise using Axon Enterprise's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Axon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Axon Enterprise's stock price.
Axon Enterprise Short Interest
An investor who is long Axon Enterprise may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Axon Enterprise and may potentially protect profits, hedge Axon Enterprise with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 685.494 | Short Percent 0.0322 | Short Ratio 2.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 574.6846 |
Axon Enterprise Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Axon Enterprise's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Axon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Axon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Axon Enterprise. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Axon Enterprise's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Axon Enterprise.
Axon Enterprise Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Axon Enterprise's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axon Enterprise stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axon Enterprise's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axon Enterprise stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axon Enterprise's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axon Enterprise to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Axon Enterprise after-hype prediction price | USD 602.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Axon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Axon Enterprise will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Axon Enterprise trading at USD 605.07, that is roughly USD 0.25 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Axon Enterprise's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Axon Enterprise options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Axon Enterprise After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axon Enterprise at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axon Enterprise or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axon Enterprise, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axon Enterprise Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axon Enterprise's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axon Enterprise's historical news coverage. Axon Enterprise's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 600.18 and 605.24, respectively. We have considered Axon Enterprise's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axon Enterprise is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axon Enterprise is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axon Enterprise Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axon Enterprise is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axon Enterprise backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axon Enterprise, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.55 | 2.50 | 0.34 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
605.07 | 602.71 | 0.39 |
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Axon Enterprise Hype Timeline
Axon Enterprise is presently traded for 605.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. Axon is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 602.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 35.71%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Axon Enterprise is about 263.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 605.41. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.86. Axon Enterprise had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Axon Enterprise Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axon Enterprise's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axon Enterprise's future price movements. Getting to know how Axon Enterprise's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axon Enterprise may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | 5.48 | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.14 | 3.09 | (2.27) | 7.10 | |
| URI | United Rentals | (8.83) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.90 | (3.19) | 8.83 | |
| FDX | FedEx | (4.82) | 8 per month | 0.69 | 0.20 | 2.58 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (1.65) | 6.71 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | 8.67 | 11 per month | 0.89 | 0.04 | 1.95 | (1.73) | 5.06 | |
| CMI | Cummins | (4.25) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.22 | 2.87 | (2.39) | 9.83 | |
| HEI | Heico | 9.84 | 8 per month | 1.22 | 0.02 | 2.42 | (2.28) | 8.20 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | 0.71 | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.16 | 3.68 | (1.63) | 7.16 | |
| PWR | Quanta Services | 1.83 | 7 per month | 2.60 | 0.02 | 3.37 | (5.43) | 9.84 |
Axon Enterprise Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Axon Enterprise Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Axon Enterprise stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axon Enterprise, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axon Enterprise based on analysis of Axon Enterprise hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axon Enterprise's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axon Enterprise's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 9.19 | 11.69 | 10.52 | 6.17 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 162.74 | 115.13 | 132.4 | 129.25 |
Pair Trading with Axon Enterprise
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Axon Enterprise position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Axon Enterprise will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Axon Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Axon Enterprise could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Axon Enterprise when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Axon Enterprise - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Axon Enterprise to buy it.
The correlation of Axon Enterprise is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Axon Enterprise moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Axon Enterprise moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Axon Enterprise can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Axon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axon Enterprise guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axon Enterprise. If investors know Axon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axon Enterprise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 3.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.306 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Axon Enterprise is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axon Enterprise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axon Enterprise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axon Enterprise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axon Enterprise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axon Enterprise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axon Enterprise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axon Enterprise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.