Republic Services Stock Forward View
| RSG Stock | USD 214.75 0.34 0.16% |
Republic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Republic Services' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Republic Services' share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Republic Services, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7009 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.8985 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3013 | Wall Street Target Price 244.2083 |
Using Republic Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Republic Services from the perspective of Republic Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Republic Services using Republic Services' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Republic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Republic Services' stock price.
Republic Services Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Republic Services' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Republic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Republic Services stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 230.0312 | Short Percent 0.0134 | Short Ratio 1.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 213.6774 |
Republic Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Republic Services on the next trading day is expected to be 215.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.24.Republic Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Republic Services' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Republic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Republic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Republic Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Republic Services' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Republic Services.
Republic Services Implied Volatility | 0.26 |
Republic Services' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Republic Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Republic Services' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Republic Services stock will not fluctuate a lot when Republic Services' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Republic Services on the next trading day is expected to be 215.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.24. Republic Services after-hype prediction price | USD 214.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Services to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Republic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Republic Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0163% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Republic Services trading at USD 214.75, that is roughly USD 0.0349 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Republic Services' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Republic Services options at the current volatility level of 0.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Republic Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Republic Services' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Republic Services' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Republic Services stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Republic Services' open interest, investors have to compare it to Republic Services' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Republic Services is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Republic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Republic Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Republic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Republic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Republic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Republic Services Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Republic Services' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1998-06-30 | Previous Quarter 122 M | Current Value 84 M | Quarterly Volatility 90.8 M |
Republic Services Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Republic Services on the next trading day is expected to be 215.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.97, mean absolute percentage error of 6.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Republic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Republic Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Republic Services Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Republic Services | Republic Services Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Republic Services Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Republic Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Republic Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 214.43 and 216.31, respectively. We have considered Republic Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Republic Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Republic Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9205 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9712 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0093 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 120.2411 |
Predictive Modules for Republic Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Republic Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Republic Services After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Republic Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Republic Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Republic Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Republic Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Republic Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Republic Services' historical news coverage. Republic Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 213.92 and 215.80, respectively. We have considered Republic Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Republic Services is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Republic Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Republic Services Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Republic Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Republic Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Republic Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.94 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
214.75 | 214.86 | 0.05 |
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Republic Services Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Republic Services is traded for 214.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Republic is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 214.86 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 68.12%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Republic Services is about 237.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 214.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 16.03 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.04 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.14 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Services to cross-verify your projections.Republic Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Republic Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Republic Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Republic Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Republic Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WM | Waste Management | 2.52 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.02 | 2.06 | (2.21) | 4.49 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | (2.02) | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.02 | 2.00 | (1.56) | 5.69 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | 1.07 | 8 per month | 1.35 | (0.02) | 2.54 | (2.05) | 6.94 | |
| WCN | Waste Connections | (0.76) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.93 | (1.90) | 5.53 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | (0.32) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.03 | 2.27 | (2.04) | 5.63 | |
| CMI | Cummins | (2.02) | 7 per month | 1.06 | 0.26 | 2.87 | (2.27) | 9.83 | |
| FDX | FedEx | (0.75) | 7 per month | 0.59 | 0.28 | 2.61 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | (0.35) | 7 per month | 1.21 | 0.05 | 2.53 | (1.93) | 6.71 | |
| PWR | Quanta Services | (1.44) | 9 per month | 2.41 | 0.06 | 2.91 | (5.00) | 9.63 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 0.11 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.06 | 2.40 | (2.12) | 6.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Republic Services
For every potential investor in Republic, whether a beginner or expert, Republic Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Republic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Republic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Republic Services' price trends.Republic Services Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Republic Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Republic Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Republic Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Republic Services Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Republic Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Republic Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Republic Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Republic Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Republic Services Risk Indicators
The analysis of Republic Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Republic Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting republic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8176 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Republic Services
The number of cover stories for Republic Services depends on current market conditions and Republic Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Republic Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Republic Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Republic Services Short Properties
Republic Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Republic Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Republic Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Republic Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Republic Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 314.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Services to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Republic Stock please use our How to Invest in Republic Services guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Can Environmental & Facilities Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does Republic have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Republic Services. Anticipated expansion of Republic directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Republic Services demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 2.365 | Earnings Share 6.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
Investors evaluate Republic Services using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Republic Services' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Republic Services' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Republic Services' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Republic Services should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Republic Services' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.