Rayonier Stock Forward View
| RYN Stock | USD 22.46 0.06 0.27% |
Rayonier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Rayonier's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rayonier's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rayonier fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Rayonier's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.45 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1244 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4759 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4772 | Wall Street Target Price 26.6667 |
Using Rayonier hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rayonier from the perspective of Rayonier response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rayonier using Rayonier's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rayonier using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rayonier's stock price.
Rayonier Short Interest
An investor who is long Rayonier may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rayonier and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rayonier with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.7929 | Short Percent 0.05 | Short Ratio 4.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 22.42 |
Rayonier Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rayonier on the next trading day is expected to be 21.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.82.Rayonier Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rayonier's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rayonier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rayonier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rayonier. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rayonier's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rayonier.
Rayonier Implied Volatility | 0.27 |
Rayonier's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rayonier stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rayonier's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rayonier stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rayonier's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rayonier on the next trading day is expected to be 21.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.82. Rayonier after-hype prediction price | USD 22.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rayonier to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rayonier contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rayonier will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0169% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Rayonier trading at USD 22.46, that is roughly USD 0.00379 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rayonier's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rayonier options at the current volatility level of 0.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Rayonier Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rayonier's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rayonier's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rayonier stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rayonier's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rayonier's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rayonier is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rayonier. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rayonier Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rayonier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rayonier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rayonier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rayonier Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Rayonier's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1993-03-31 | Previous Quarter 892.3 M | Current Value 919.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 143.3 M |
Rayonier Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rayonier on the next trading day is expected to be 21.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rayonier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rayonier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rayonier Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rayonier | Rayonier Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Rayonier Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rayonier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rayonier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.55 and 22.97, respectively. We have considered Rayonier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rayonier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rayonier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7932 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0188 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.8166 |
Predictive Modules for Rayonier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rayonier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rayonier's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rayonier After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rayonier at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rayonier or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rayonier, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rayonier Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rayonier's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rayonier's historical news coverage. Rayonier's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.73 and 24.17, respectively. We have considered Rayonier's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rayonier is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rayonier is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rayonier Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rayonier is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rayonier backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rayonier, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.71 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.46 | 22.45 | 0.04 |
|
Rayonier Hype Timeline
On the 8th of February Rayonier is traded for 22.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Rayonier is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Rayonier is about 732.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.47. About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Rayonier was at this time reported as 14.81. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 131.53. Rayonier last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2025. The entity had 1339:1000 split on the 30th of June 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rayonier to cross-verify your projections.Rayonier Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rayonier's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rayonier's future price movements. Getting to know how Rayonier's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rayonier may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WY | Weyerhaeuser | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.93 | 0.11 | 3.49 | (1.71) | 8.64 | |
| LAMR | Lamar Advertising | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.08 | 2.20 | (1.49) | 7.61 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 2.38 | (1.87) | 7.13 | |
| LAND | Gladstone Land | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.12 | 2.90 | (2.00) | 10.40 | |
| PCH | PotlatchDeltic Corp | 1.91 | 10 per month | 1.45 | (0.01) | 3.38 | (2.62) | 7.23 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | 0.05 | 28 per month | 1.03 | (0.05) | 2.67 | (2.00) | 5.95 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | (0.16) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.39 | (3.04) | 11.60 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.61 | 10 per month | 0.88 | 0.09 | 2.02 | (1.59) | 6.04 | |
| AFCG | AFC Gamma | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.16 | (7.17) | 25.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rayonier
For every potential investor in Rayonier, whether a beginner or expert, Rayonier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rayonier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rayonier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rayonier's price trends.Rayonier Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rayonier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rayonier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rayonier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rayonier Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rayonier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rayonier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rayonier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rayonier entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rayonier Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rayonier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rayonier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rayonier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.58) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rayonier
The number of cover stories for Rayonier depends on current market conditions and Rayonier's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rayonier is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rayonier's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Rayonier Short Properties
Rayonier's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rayonier's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rayonier often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rayonier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rayonier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 323.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rayonier to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Rayonier Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rayonier guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Specialized REITs sector continue expanding? Could Rayonier diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rayonier. Anticipated expansion of Rayonier directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rayonier data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.45 | Dividend Share 1.103 | Earnings Share 2.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.431 |
The market value of Rayonier is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rayonier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rayonier's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rayonier's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Rayonier's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rayonier's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Rayonier's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rayonier should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Rayonier's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.