Rayonier Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| RYN Stock | USD 23.40 0.60 2.50% |
Rayonier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Rayonier's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rayonier, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Rayonier hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rayonier from the perspective of Rayonier response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Rayonier on the next trading day is expected to be 23.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.08. Rayonier after-hype prediction price | USD 23.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rayonier to cross-verify your projections. Rayonier Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rayonier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rayonier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rayonier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rayonier Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Rayonier on the next trading day is expected to be 23.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rayonier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rayonier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rayonier Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rayonier | Rayonier Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rayonier Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rayonier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rayonier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.33 and 24.90, respectively. We have considered Rayonier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rayonier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rayonier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4066 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6465 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0289 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.0811 |
Predictive Modules for Rayonier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rayonier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rayonier's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rayonier After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rayonier at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rayonier or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rayonier, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rayonier Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rayonier's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rayonier's historical news coverage. Rayonier's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.59 and 25.21, respectively. We have considered Rayonier's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rayonier is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rayonier is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rayonier Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rayonier is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rayonier backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rayonier, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.40 | 23.40 | 0.00 |
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Rayonier Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Rayonier is traded for 23.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Rayonier is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rayonier is about 1722.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.41. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rayonier has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 131.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2025. The firm had 1339:1000 split on the 30th of June 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rayonier to cross-verify your projections.Rayonier Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rayonier's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rayonier's future price movements. Getting to know how Rayonier's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rayonier may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WY | Weyerhaeuser | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.08 | 3.49 | (2.19) | 8.42 | |
| LAMR | Lamar Advertising | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.93 | 0.03 | 2.13 | (1.76) | 7.61 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.06 | 2.03 | (1.87) | 5.49 | |
| LAND | Gladstone Land | 0.01 | 4 per month | 1.19 | 0.01 | 2.26 | (1.75) | 8.31 | |
| PCH | PotlatchDeltic Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0) | 3.38 | (2.62) | 7.23 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | 0.52 | 10 per month | 1.09 | (0.03) | 2.80 | (2.06) | 7.00 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | 0.65 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.14 | (3.04) | 7.08 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.43 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.90 | (1.76) | 6.05 | |
| AFCG | AFC Gamma | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.16 | (7.17) | 25.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rayonier
For every potential investor in Rayonier, whether a beginner or expert, Rayonier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rayonier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rayonier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rayonier's price trends.Rayonier Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rayonier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rayonier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rayonier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rayonier Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rayonier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rayonier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rayonier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rayonier entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73228.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.88) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.56) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.60) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.62 |
Rayonier Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rayonier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rayonier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rayonier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rayonier
The number of cover stories for Rayonier depends on current market conditions and Rayonier's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rayonier is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rayonier's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rayonier Short Properties
Rayonier's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rayonier's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rayonier often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rayonier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rayonier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 323.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rayonier to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Rayonier Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rayonier guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rayonier. If investors know Rayonier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rayonier listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Rayonier is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rayonier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rayonier's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rayonier's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rayonier's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rayonier's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rayonier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rayonier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rayonier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.