Banco Santander Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SAN Stock | USD 12.81 0.06 0.47% |
Banco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Banco Santander's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Banco Santander's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Banco Santander fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Banco Santander's stock price is about 65. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Banco, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2703 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.991 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0669 | Wall Street Target Price 10.735 |
Using Banco Santander hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Santander SA from the perspective of Banco Santander response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banco Santander using Banco Santander's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banco Santander's stock price.
Banco Santander Short Interest
An investor who is long Banco Santander may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Banco Santander and may potentially protect profits, hedge Banco Santander with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.5629 | Short Percent 0.0003 | Short Ratio 1.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 11.546 |
Banco Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.87.Banco Santander SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Banco Santander's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Banco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Banco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Banco Santander SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Banco Santander's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Banco Santander.
Banco Santander Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Banco Santander's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banco Santander SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banco Santander's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banco Santander stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banco Santander's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.87. Banco Santander after-hype prediction price | USD 12.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Banco contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Banco Santander SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Banco Santander trading at USD 12.81, that is roughly USD 0.006645 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Banco Santander's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Banco Santander SA options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Banco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Banco Santander's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Banco Santander's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Banco Santander stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Banco Santander's open interest, investors have to compare it to Banco Santander's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Banco Santander is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Banco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Banco Santander Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Banco Santander Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Santander's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Banco Santander Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Banco Santander | Banco Santander Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Banco Santander Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Banco Santander's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Santander's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.26 and 14.30, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Santander stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Santander stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1841 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0671 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1503 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.87 |
Predictive Modules for Banco Santander
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Santander SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Banco Santander After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banco Santander at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Santander or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco Santander, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banco Santander Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banco Santander's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Santander's historical news coverage. Banco Santander's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.27 and 14.31, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banco Santander is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Santander SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banco Santander Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Santander is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Santander backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Santander, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.52 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.81 | 12.79 | 0.16 |
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Banco Santander Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Banco Santander SA is traded for 12.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Banco is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Banco Santander is about 506.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.92. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Banco Santander SA last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 21st of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.Banco Santander Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Santander's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Santander's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Santander's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Santander may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.23 | 2.70 | (2.35) | 5.53 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.22 | 2.67 | (2.00) | 8.20 | |
| HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | (0.14) | 11 per month | 0.66 | 0.30 | 2.26 | (1.85) | 6.86 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | (0.31) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.16 | 2.49 | (2.19) | 8.21 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.22 | 2.57 | (1.92) | 7.56 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | (0.31) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.25 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 7.05 | |
| BBVXF | Banco Bilbao Vizcaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.15 | 4.52 | (3.34) | 9.25 | |
| MUFG | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | (0.29) | 6 per month | 1.24 | 0.19 | 2.30 | (2.34) | 7.11 | |
| BCLYF | Barclays PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.14 | 3.54 | (2.70) | 14.84 | |
| SVNLY | Svenska Handelsbanken PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.22 | 1.65 | (1.82) | 4.71 | |
| C | Citigroup | 3.61 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.11 | 2.81 | (2.24) | 8.93 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | 0.80 | 7 per month | 0.53 | 0.21 | 1.46 | (1.34) | 4.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Banco Santander
For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Santander's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Santander's price trends.Banco Santander Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Santander stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Santander could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Santander by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Banco Santander Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Santander stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Santander shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Santander stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Santander SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Banco Santander Risk Indicators
The analysis of Banco Santander's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Santander's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Banco Santander
The number of cover stories for Banco Santander depends on current market conditions and Banco Santander's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Santander is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Santander's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banco Santander Short Properties
Banco Santander's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco Santander's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco Santander SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco Santander's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Santander's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could Banco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Santander. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Banco Santander data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | Dividend Share 0.225 | Earnings Share 1.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.048 |
The market value of Banco Santander SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Santander's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Santander's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Banco Santander's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Santander's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Santander's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Santander is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Banco Santander's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.