SB Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SBFG Stock | USD 22.52 0.31 1.36% |
SBFG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of SB Financial's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SB Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.136 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.45 | Wall Street Target Price 23 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.62 |
Using SB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SB Financial Group from the perspective of SB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
SBFG Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.84.SB Financial Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SB Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SBFG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SBFG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SB Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SB Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SB Financial.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.84. SB Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 22.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SB Financial to cross-verify your projections. SB Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SBFG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBFG using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBFG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SB Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SBFG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SB Financial | SB Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SB Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.13 and 24.92, respectively. We have considered SB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7895 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0579 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4236 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0195 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.8411 |
Predictive Modules for SB Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SB Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SB Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SB Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SB Financial's historical news coverage. SB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.08 and 24.96, respectively. We have considered SB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SB Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SB Financial Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
SB Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.39 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.52 | 22.52 | 0.00 |
|
SB Financial Hype Timeline
SB Financial Group is at this time traded for 22.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. SBFG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on SB Financial is about 6638.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.51. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SB Financial Group last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The entity had 105:100 split on the 20th of January 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SB Financial to cross-verify your projections.SB Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how SB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 3.33 | (2.55) | 7.33 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | 0.22 | 7 per month | 1.28 | 0.03 | 2.12 | (2.06) | 13.88 | |
| PNBK | Patriot National Bancorp | (0.06) | 8 per month | 4.00 | 0.1 | 6.98 | (6.40) | 17.77 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | (0.1) | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 1.81 | (2.09) | 6.78 | |
| EBMT | Eagle Bancorp Montana | (0.31) | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.28 | 3.36 | (1.80) | 7.09 | |
| SFBC | Sound Financial Bancorp | 0.42 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.00 | (1.04) | 6.34 | |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp Common | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.14 | 2.84 | (1.36) | 8.56 | |
| UNB | Union Bankshares | (0.27) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 2.71 | (3.21) | 11.80 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | (0.20) | 6 per month | 0.79 | 0.16 | 2.06 | (1.49) | 5.81 | |
| RVSB | Riverview Bancorp | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.03 | 3.57 | (2.50) | 9.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for SB Financial
For every potential investor in SBFG, whether a beginner or expert, SB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SBFG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SBFG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SB Financial's price trends.SB Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SB Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SB Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1151.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.31) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.74 |
SB Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of SB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sbfg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SB Financial
The number of cover stories for SB Financial depends on current market conditions and SB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SB Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does SBFG have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SB Financial. If investors know SBFG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating SB Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.136 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 |
Investors evaluate SB Financial Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating SB Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause SB Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, SB Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.