SandRidge Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SD Stock | USD 15.40 0.22 1.45% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SandRidge Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.56. SandRidge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SandRidge Energy stock prices and determine the direction of SandRidge Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SandRidge Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of SandRidge Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.69 | Wall Street Target Price 17 |
Using SandRidge Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SandRidge Energy from the perspective of SandRidge Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SandRidge Energy using SandRidge Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SandRidge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SandRidge Energy's stock price.
SandRidge Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in SandRidge Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SandRidge. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SandRidge Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 11.6894 | Short Percent 0.0656 | Short Ratio 6.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 14.301 |
SandRidge Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SandRidge Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SandRidge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SandRidge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SandRidge Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
SandRidge Energy Implied Volatility | 0.99 |
SandRidge Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SandRidge Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SandRidge Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SandRidge Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when SandRidge Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SandRidge Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.56. SandRidge Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 15.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SandRidge contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SandRidge Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With SandRidge Energy trading at USD 15.4, that is roughly USD 0.009529 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SandRidge Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SandRidge Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 SandRidge Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SandRidge Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SandRidge Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SandRidge Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SandRidge Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to SandRidge Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SandRidge Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SandRidge. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SandRidge Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SandRidge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SandRidge using various technical indicators. When you analyze SandRidge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SandRidge Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SandRidge Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SandRidge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SandRidge Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SandRidge Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SandRidge Energy | SandRidge Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SandRidge Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SandRidge Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SandRidge Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.31 and 17.65, respectively. We have considered SandRidge Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SandRidge Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SandRidge Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0342 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.5554 |
Predictive Modules for SandRidge Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SandRidge Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SandRidge Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SandRidge Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SandRidge Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SandRidge Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SandRidge Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SandRidge Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SandRidge Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SandRidge Energy's historical news coverage. SandRidge Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.45 and 17.83, respectively. We have considered SandRidge Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SandRidge Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SandRidge Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
SandRidge Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SandRidge Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SandRidge Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SandRidge Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.17 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.40 | 15.64 | 0.45 |
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SandRidge Energy Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 SandRidge Energy is listed for 15.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. SandRidge is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on SandRidge Energy is about 6382.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.38. The company generated the yearly revenue of 125.29 M. Reported Net Income was 62.99 M with gross profit of 109.73 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SandRidge Energy to cross-verify your projections.SandRidge Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SandRidge Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SandRidge Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how SandRidge Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SandRidge Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPRK | GeoPark | 0.33 | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.09 | 6.58 | (3.38) | 32.73 | |
| TBN | Tamboran Resources | (0.92) | 10 per month | 2.20 | 0.02 | 4.46 | (3.26) | 13.64 | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | 0.00 | 11 per month | 1.67 | 0.13 | 4.84 | (3.33) | 8.83 | |
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian | 0.31 | 11 per month | 2.07 | (0) | 4.57 | (3.29) | 10.71 | |
| OBE | Obsidian Energy | (0.21) | 7 per month | 2.31 | 0.06 | 4.11 | (4.05) | 12.36 | |
| SGU | Star Gas Partners | (0.33) | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 1.90 | (1.80) | 6.34 | |
| NOA | North American Construction | 0.24 | 7 per month | 2.69 | 0.01 | 3.61 | (4.12) | 11.65 | |
| GFR | Greenfire Resources | 0.13 | 10 per month | 3.45 | 0.05 | 5.94 | (6.78) | 16.48 | |
| WTI | WT Offshore | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.28 | (4.52) | 13.60 | |
| OIS | Oil States International | 0.16 | 10 per month | 2.53 | 0.17 | 5.84 | (3.42) | 20.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for SandRidge Energy
For every potential investor in SandRidge, whether a beginner or expert, SandRidge Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SandRidge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SandRidge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SandRidge Energy's price trends.SandRidge Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SandRidge Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SandRidge Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SandRidge Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SandRidge Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SandRidge Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SandRidge Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SandRidge Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SandRidge Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SandRidge Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of SandRidge Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SandRidge Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sandridge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SandRidge Energy
The number of cover stories for SandRidge Energy depends on current market conditions and SandRidge Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SandRidge Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SandRidge Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SandRidge Energy Short Properties
SandRidge Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when SandRidge Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SandRidge Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SandRidge Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SandRidge Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SandRidge Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade SandRidge Stock refer to our How to Trade SandRidge Stock guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SandRidge Energy. If investors know SandRidge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SandRidge Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.45 | Earnings Share 1.79 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.325 |
The market value of SandRidge Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SandRidge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SandRidge Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SandRidge Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SandRidge Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SandRidge Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SandRidge Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SandRidge Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SandRidge Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.