Seaboard Stock Forward View

SEB Stock  USD 5,493  58.57  1.08%   
Seaboard Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seaboard stock prices and determine the direction of Seaboard's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Seaboard's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Seaboard's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Seaboard's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Seaboard, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Seaboard's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.675
Wall Street Target Price
0.69
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.145
Using Seaboard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seaboard from the perspective of Seaboard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Seaboard Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Seaboard on the next trading day is expected to be 5,577 with a mean absolute deviation of 71.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,413.

Seaboard Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Seaboard's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Seaboard. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Seaboard can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Seaboard. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Seaboard's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Seaboard.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Seaboard on the next trading day is expected to be 5,577 with a mean absolute deviation of 71.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,413.

Seaboard after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5555.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seaboard to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Seaboard Stock refer to our How to Trade Seaboard Stock guide.

Seaboard Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Seaboard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seaboard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seaboard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Seaboard Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Seaboard's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1986-03-31
Previous Quarter
117 M
Current Value
205 M
Quarterly Volatility
40 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Seaboard is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Seaboard value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Seaboard Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Seaboard on the next trading day is expected to be 5,577 with a mean absolute deviation of 71.17, mean absolute percentage error of 8,592, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,413.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seaboard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seaboard's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seaboard Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Seaboard  Seaboard Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Seaboard Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seaboard's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seaboard's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,576 and 5,579, respectively. We have considered Seaboard's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,493
5,577
Expected Value
5,579
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seaboard stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seaboard stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.007
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation71.1747
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0158
SAESum of the absolute errors4412.8302
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Seaboard. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Seaboard. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Seaboard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seaboard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seaboard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9445,5555,557
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,5272,5296,043
Details

Seaboard After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Seaboard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seaboard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seaboard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Seaboard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Seaboard's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seaboard's historical news coverage. Seaboard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4,944 and 5,557, respectively. We have considered Seaboard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5,493
5,555
After-hype Price
5,557
Upside
Seaboard is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seaboard is based on 3 months time horizon.

Seaboard Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seaboard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seaboard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seaboard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.59 
1.93
  61.95 
  0.13 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5,493
5,555
1.13 
1.84  
Notes

Seaboard Hype Timeline

On the 10th of February Seaboard is traded for 5,493. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 61.95, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Seaboard is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5555.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 1.84%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Seaboard is about 885.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5,493. The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.1 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 90 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 725 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seaboard to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Seaboard Stock refer to our How to Trade Seaboard Stock guide.

Seaboard Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Seaboard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seaboard's future price movements. Getting to know how Seaboard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seaboard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GFFGriffon 0.07 10 per month 1.16  0.13  4.99 (2.41) 8.65 
MDUMDU Resources Group 0.14 7 per month 1.45 (0.02) 1.98 (2.66) 8.84 
MATXMatson Inc 4.55 10 per month 0.69  0.26  3.81 (2.04) 15.22 
HAFNHafnia Limited 0.01 6 per month 1.67  0.03  2.83 (2.68) 8.51 
BBUBrookfield Business Partners(0.28)10 per month 2.47  0.02  3.85 (2.76) 12.10 
KFYKorn Ferry 0.81 9 per month 1.33 (0.03) 2.91 (2.19) 7.87 
EAFGrafTech International(0.76)8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 7.15 (7.33) 56.12 
AZZAZZ Incorporated 0.52 5 per month 0.92  0.20  3.40 (1.99) 8.55 
BRCBrady 0.57 11 per month 0.88  0.20  2.35 (1.68) 5.12 
FLYFirefly Aerospace Common(3.45)8 per month 7.34  0.04  16.02 (13.49) 36.50 

Other Forecasting Options for Seaboard

For every potential investor in Seaboard, whether a beginner or expert, Seaboard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seaboard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seaboard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seaboard's price trends.

Seaboard Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seaboard stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seaboard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seaboard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seaboard Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seaboard stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seaboard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seaboard stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seaboard entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seaboard Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seaboard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seaboard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seaboard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Seaboard

The number of cover stories for Seaboard depends on current market conditions and Seaboard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seaboard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seaboard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Seaboard Short Properties

Seaboard's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seaboard's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seaboard often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seaboard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seaboard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding971.1 K
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
When determining whether Seaboard offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Seaboard's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Seaboard Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Seaboard Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seaboard to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Seaboard Stock refer to our How to Trade Seaboard Stock guide.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seaboard. If investors know Seaboard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Seaboard assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.675
Dividend Share
9
Earnings Share
409.91
Revenue Per Share
10.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.145
Investors evaluate Seaboard using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Seaboard's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Seaboard's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seaboard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seaboard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Seaboard's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.