Seaboard Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SEB Stock  USD 2,663  9.73  0.36%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Seaboard on the next trading day is expected to be 2,612 with a mean absolute deviation of 44.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,724. Seaboard Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seaboard stock prices and determine the direction of Seaboard's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seaboard's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Seaboard's Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 3.90, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 18.78. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 700.4 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 1.1 M.
Seaboard polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Seaboard as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Seaboard Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Seaboard on the next trading day is expected to be 2,612 with a mean absolute deviation of 44.65, mean absolute percentage error of 2,925, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,724.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seaboard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seaboard's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seaboard Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seaboard Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seaboard's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seaboard's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,611 and 2,613, respectively. We have considered Seaboard's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,663
2,612
Expected Value
2,613
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seaboard stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seaboard stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.0915
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation44.6533
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0152
SAESum of the absolute errors2723.854
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Seaboard historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Seaboard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seaboard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seaboard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,6432,6442,929
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2191,2212,929
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,6182,6662,715
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Seaboard

For every potential investor in Seaboard, whether a beginner or expert, Seaboard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seaboard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seaboard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seaboard's price trends.

Seaboard Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seaboard stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seaboard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seaboard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seaboard Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seaboard's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seaboard's current price.

Seaboard Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seaboard stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seaboard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seaboard stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seaboard entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seaboard Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seaboard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seaboard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seaboard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Seaboard offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Seaboard's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Seaboard Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Seaboard Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seaboard to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Seaboard Stock refer to our How to Trade Seaboard Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seaboard. If investors know Seaboard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seaboard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.402
Dividend Share
9
Earnings Share
(5.30)
Revenue Per Share
9.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Seaboard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seaboard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seaboard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seaboard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seaboard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seaboard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seaboard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seaboard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seaboard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.