Sight Sciences Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SGHT Stock  USD 7.20  0.33  4.38%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 7.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.15. Sight Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sight Sciences' share price is at 51. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sight Sciences, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sight Sciences' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sight Sciences, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sight Sciences' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.25)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.77)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.60)
Wall Street Target Price
9.35
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.26)
Using Sight Sciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sight Sciences from the perspective of Sight Sciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sight Sciences using Sight Sciences' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sight using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sight Sciences' stock price.

Sight Sciences Short Interest

An investor who is long Sight Sciences may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sight Sciences and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sight Sciences with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.4788
Short Percent
0.0221
Short Ratio
4.36
Shares Short Prior Month
949.3 K
50 Day MA
7.3236

Sight Sciences Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sight Sciences' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sight. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sight can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sight Sciences. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sight Sciences' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sight Sciences.

Sight Sciences Implied Volatility

    
  2.94  
Sight Sciences' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sight Sciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sight Sciences' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sight Sciences stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sight Sciences' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 7.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.15.

Sight Sciences after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sight Sciences to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sight Stock please use our How to Invest in Sight Sciences guide.Inventory Turnover is likely to gain to 3.00 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.34 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 48.2 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (73.7 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Sight Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sight Sciences' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sight Sciences' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sight Sciences stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sight Sciences' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sight Sciences' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sight Sciences is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sight. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Sight Sciences Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Sight Sciences' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
101.5 M
Current Value
92.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
74.9 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Sight Sciences is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sight Sciences value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sight Sciences Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 7.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sight Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sight Sciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sight Sciences Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sight SciencesSight Sciences Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sight Sciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sight Sciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sight Sciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.82 and 13.74, respectively. We have considered Sight Sciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.20
7.28
Expected Value
13.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sight Sciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sight Sciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3612
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3304
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0534
SAESum of the absolute errors20.1541
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sight Sciences. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sight Sciences. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sight Sciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sight Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.077.5313.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.478.9315.39
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.519.3510.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sight Sciences. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sight Sciences' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sight Sciences' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sight Sciences.

Other Forecasting Options for Sight Sciences

For every potential investor in Sight, whether a beginner or expert, Sight Sciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sight Sciences' price trends.

Sight Sciences Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sight Sciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sight Sciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sight Sciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sight Sciences Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sight Sciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sight Sciences' current price.

Sight Sciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sight Sciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sight Sciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sight Sciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sight Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sight Sciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sight Sciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sight Sciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sight stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Sight Stock Analysis

When running Sight Sciences' price analysis, check to measure Sight Sciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sight Sciences is operating at the current time. Most of Sight Sciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sight Sciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sight Sciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sight Sciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.