Sight Sciences Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

SGHT Stock  USD 5.92  0.55  8.50%   
Sight Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Sight Sciences' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sight Sciences' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sight Sciences, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sight Sciences' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.25)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.78)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.64)
Wall Street Target Price
9.35
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.26)
Using Sight Sciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sight Sciences from the perspective of Sight Sciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sight Sciences using Sight Sciences' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sight using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sight Sciences' stock price.

Sight Sciences Short Interest

An investor who is long Sight Sciences may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sight Sciences and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sight Sciences with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.8492
Short Percent
0.0302
Short Ratio
3.39
Shares Short Prior Month
983.3 K
50 Day MA
7.5644

Sight Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 6.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.37.

Sight Sciences Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sight Sciences' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sight. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sight can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sight Sciences. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sight Sciences' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sight Sciences.

Sight Sciences Implied Volatility

    
  1.59  
Sight Sciences' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sight Sciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sight Sciences' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sight Sciences stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sight Sciences' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 6.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.37.

Sight Sciences after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sight Sciences to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sight Stock please use our How to Invest in Sight Sciences guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Sight Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sight Sciences' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sight Sciences' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sight Sciences stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sight Sciences' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sight Sciences' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sight Sciences is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sight. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Sight Sciences Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Sight Sciences price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Sight Sciences Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 6.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sight Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sight Sciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sight Sciences Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sight Sciences  Sight Sciences Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Sight Sciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sight Sciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sight Sciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.49 and 10.93, respectively. We have considered Sight Sciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.92
6.71
Expected Value
10.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sight Sciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sight Sciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7261
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7274
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1
SAESum of the absolute errors44.3685
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Sight Sciences historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Sight Sciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sight Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.296.5110.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.838.0512.27
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.519.3510.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sight Sciences. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sight Sciences' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sight Sciences' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sight Sciences.

Sight Sciences After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sight Sciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sight Sciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sight Sciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sight Sciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sight Sciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sight Sciences' historical news coverage. Sight Sciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.29 and 10.73, respectively. We have considered Sight Sciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.92
6.51
After-hype Price
10.73
Upside
Sight Sciences is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sight Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sight Sciences Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sight Sciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sight Sciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sight Sciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
4.22
  0.04 
  0.09 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.92
6.51
0.62 
2,482  
Notes

Sight Sciences Hype Timeline

Sight Sciences is at this time traded for 5.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Sight is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.62%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Sight Sciences is about 1253.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.01. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.44 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sight Sciences to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sight Stock please use our How to Invest in Sight Sciences guide.

Sight Sciences Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sight Sciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sight Sciences' future price movements. Getting to know how Sight Sciences' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sight Sciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IINNInspira Technologies Oxy(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 6.86 (6.96) 24.08 
PTHLPheton Holdings Ltd 0.05 6 per month 6.77  0.02  6.56 (9.84) 136.77 
TNONTenon Medical 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.25) 5.61 (7.21) 17.02 
BMRABiomerica(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.12 (5.21) 18.44 
HSCSHeart Test Laboratories(0.01)6 per month 4.93  0.03  11.07 (6.48) 26.18 
SSKNSTRATA Skin Sciences 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.35 (7.03) 18.68 
APVOAptevo Therapeutics 0.52 9 per month 0.00 (0.28) 7.81 (10.34) 45.42 
ADVBAdvanced Biomed Common(0.02)5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 10.00 (10.81) 39.70 
BNRBurning Rock Biotech 2.54 7 per month 6.82  0.19  18.91 (13.63) 50.29 

Other Forecasting Options for Sight Sciences

For every potential investor in Sight, whether a beginner or expert, Sight Sciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sight Sciences' price trends.

Sight Sciences Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sight Sciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sight Sciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sight Sciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sight Sciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sight Sciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sight Sciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sight Sciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sight Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sight Sciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sight Sciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sight Sciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sight stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sight Sciences

The number of cover stories for Sight Sciences depends on current market conditions and Sight Sciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sight Sciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sight Sciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sight Sciences Short Properties

Sight Sciences' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sight Sciences' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sight Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sight Sciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sight Sciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments120.4 M

Additional Tools for Sight Stock Analysis

When running Sight Sciences' price analysis, check to measure Sight Sciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sight Sciences is operating at the current time. Most of Sight Sciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sight Sciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sight Sciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sight Sciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.