Sight Sciences Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SGHT Stock  USD 3.98  0.03  0.75%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 3.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.97. Sight Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Sight Sciences' Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.56 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.44 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 49.4 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (73.7 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for Sight Sciences is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Sight Sciences 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sight Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 3.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sight Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sight Sciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sight Sciences Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sight Sciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sight Sciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sight Sciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.01, respectively. We have considered Sight Sciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.98
3.93
Expected Value
8.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sight Sciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sight Sciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.878
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1059
MADMean absolute deviation0.2065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0402
SAESum of the absolute errors11.975
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Sight Sciences. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Sight Sciences and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Sight Sciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sight Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.667.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.104.178.24
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.214.635.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sight Sciences. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sight Sciences' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sight Sciences' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sight Sciences.

Other Forecasting Options for Sight Sciences

For every potential investor in Sight, whether a beginner or expert, Sight Sciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sight Sciences' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sight Sciences Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sight Sciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sight Sciences' current price.

Sight Sciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sight Sciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sight Sciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sight Sciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sight Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sight Sciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sight Sciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sight Sciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sight stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Sight Stock Analysis

When running Sight Sciences' price analysis, check to measure Sight Sciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sight Sciences is operating at the current time. Most of Sight Sciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sight Sciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sight Sciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sight Sciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.