Sprott Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SII Stock | USD 134.14 2.22 1.68% |
Sprott Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sprott's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The value of RSI of Sprott's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 81
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sprott hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprott Inc from the perspective of Sprott response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sprott Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 142.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.96. Sprott after-hype prediction price | USD 134.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott to cross-verify your projections. Sprott Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sprott Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sprott Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 142.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87, mean absolute percentage error of 5.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprott Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprott's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sprott Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sprott | Sprott Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sprott Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sprott's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprott's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 140.28 and 144.94, respectively. We have considered Sprott's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprott stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprott stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8839 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8682 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0199 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.9624 |
Predictive Modules for Sprott
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprott Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprott After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprott at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprott or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprott, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprott Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprott's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprott's historical news coverage. Sprott's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.81 and 136.47, respectively. We have considered Sprott's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprott is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprott Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprott Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprott is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprott backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprott, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.85 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
134.14 | 134.14 | 0.00 |
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Sprott Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Sprott Inc is traded for 134.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Sprott is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.85%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sprott is about 6852.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 134.11. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. Sprott Inc had 1:10 split on the 28th of May 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott to cross-verify your projections.Sprott Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprott's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprott's future price movements. Getting to know how Sprott's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprott may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAX | Patria Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.06 | 2.24 | (2.37) | 7.49 | |
| GCMG | GCM Grosvenor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.08 | (2.83) | 6.61 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.80 | 26 per month | 1.49 | 0.01 | 2.49 | (2.11) | 10.10 | |
| BBT | Beacon Financial | (0.64) | 10 per month | 1.44 | 0.12 | 4.08 | (3.01) | 9.56 | |
| BUR | Burford Capital | (0.64) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.11 | (3.77) | 15.16 | |
| WT | WisdomTree | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.20 | 4.19 | (2.35) | 8.38 | |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.07 | (0.03) | 2.13 | (2.11) | 5.76 | |
| OAK-PB | Oaktree Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0.10) | 1.34 | (0.99) | 4.82 | |
| TY | Tri Continental Closed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.04 | (0.89) | 7.86 | |
| OAK-PA | Oaktree Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.19 | (1.28) | 4.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sprott
For every potential investor in Sprott, whether a beginner or expert, Sprott's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprott Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprott's price trends.Sprott Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprott stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprott could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprott by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sprott Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprott stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprott shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprott stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprott Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19378.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3874 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 134.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 134.27 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.91 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.22 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 81.75 |
Sprott Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sprott's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprott's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprott stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Variance | 5.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sprott
The number of cover stories for Sprott depends on current market conditions and Sprott's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprott is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprott's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sprott Short Properties
Sprott's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprott's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprott Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprott's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprott's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprott. If investors know Sprott will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprott listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Sprott Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprott that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprott's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprott's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprott's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprott's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprott's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.