Super Micro Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| SMCI Stock | USD 30.85 2.91 8.62% |
Super Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Super Micro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Super Micro's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5167 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2396 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0398 | Wall Street Target Price 43.1875 |
Using Super Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Super Micro Computer from the perspective of Super Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Super Micro using Super Micro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Super using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Super Micro's stock price.
Super Micro Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Super Micro's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Super. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Super Micro stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 41.7708 | Short Percent 0.194 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 87.7 M | 50 Day MA 31.4936 |
Super Relative Strength Index
Super Micro Computer Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Super Micro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Super. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Super can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Super Micro Computer. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Super Micro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Super Micro.
Super Micro Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Super Micro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Super Micro Computer stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Super Micro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Super Micro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Super Micro's options are near their expiration.
Super Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 30.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Super Micro to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Super contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Super Micro Computer will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Super Micro trading at USD 30.85, that is roughly USD 0.017 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Super Micro's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Super Micro Computer options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Super Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Super Micro's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Super Micro's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Super Micro stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Super Micro's open interest, investors have to compare it to Super Micro's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Super Micro is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Super. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Super Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Super price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Super using various technical indicators. When you analyze Super charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 10.7 M | 7.4 M |
| Check Super Micro Volatility | Backtest Super Micro | Information Ratio |
Super Micro Trading Date Momentum
| On February 05 2026 Super Micro Computer was traded for 30.85 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 33.49 and the lowest listed price was 29.37 . The trading volume for the day was 60 M. The trading history from February 5, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 7.03% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Super Micro to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Super Micro
For every potential investor in Super, whether a beginner or expert, Super Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Super Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Super. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Super Micro's price trends.Super Micro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Super Micro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Super Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Super Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Super Micro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Super Micro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Super Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Super Micro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Super Micro Computer entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7.4 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.91) |
Super Micro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Super Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Super Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting super stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.04 | |||
| Variance | 16.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Super Micro
The number of cover stories for Super Micro depends on current market conditions and Super Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Super Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Super Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Super Micro Short Properties
Super Micro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Super Micro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Super Micro Computer often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Super Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Super Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 628.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Super Micro to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is there potential for Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals market expansion? Will Super introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Super Micro. If investors know Super will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Super Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Super Micro Computer requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Super's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Super Micro's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Super Micro's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Super Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Super Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Super Micro's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.