SouthState Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SSB Stock | USD 101.03 0.68 0.68% |
SouthState Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SouthState stock prices and determine the direction of SouthState's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SouthState's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of SouthState's stock price is about 64. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SouthState, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.309 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.211 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.5271 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.523 | Wall Street Target Price 118.4643 |
Using SouthState hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SouthState from the perspective of SouthState response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SouthState using SouthState's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SouthState using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SouthState's stock price.
SouthState Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in SouthState's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SouthState. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SouthState stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 93.4497 | Short Percent 0.0245 | Short Ratio 2.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.9 M | 50 Day MA 93.8536 |
SouthState Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SouthState on the next trading day is expected to be 101.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.05.SouthState Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SouthState's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SouthState. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SouthState can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SouthState. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SouthState's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SouthState.
SouthState Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
SouthState's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SouthState stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SouthState's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SouthState stock will not fluctuate a lot when SouthState's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SouthState on the next trading day is expected to be 101.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.05. SouthState after-hype prediction price | USD 100.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SouthState contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SouthState will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SouthState trading at USD 101.03, that is roughly USD 0.0309 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SouthState's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SouthState options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SouthState Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SouthState's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SouthState's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SouthState stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SouthState's open interest, investors have to compare it to SouthState's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SouthState is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SouthState. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SouthState Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SouthState price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SouthState using various technical indicators. When you analyze SouthState charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SouthState Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SouthState on the next trading day is expected to be 101.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SouthState Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SouthState's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SouthState Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SouthState | SouthState Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SouthState Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SouthState's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SouthState's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 99.91 and 102.46, respectively. We have considered SouthState's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SouthState stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SouthState stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.181 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8992 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.0541 |
Predictive Modules for SouthState
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SouthState. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SouthState's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SouthState After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SouthState at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SouthState or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SouthState, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SouthState Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SouthState's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SouthState's historical news coverage. SouthState's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 99.02 and 101.58, respectively. We have considered SouthState's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SouthState is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SouthState is based on 3 months time horizon.
SouthState Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SouthState is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SouthState backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SouthState, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.28 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
101.03 | 100.30 | 0.05 |
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SouthState Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January SouthState is traded for 101.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. SouthState is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 100.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on SouthState is about 301.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.13. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SouthState has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.61. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.87. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. SouthState had 105:100 split on the 7th of March 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SouthState to cross-verify your projections.SouthState Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SouthState's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SouthState's future price movements. Getting to know how SouthState's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SouthState may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMA | Comerica Incorporated | 0.46 | 7 per month | 0.91 | 0.16 | 2.60 | (1.37) | 9.13 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | (1.21) | 11 per month | 1.08 | 0.11 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 7.21 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.12 | 2.71 | (1.77) | 7.47 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 1.36 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 3.61 | (1.53) | 6.43 | |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.09 | 2.93 | (1.98) | 6.92 | |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | 1.32 | 6 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 2.62 | (1.89) | 8.80 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 1.27 | 6 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 3.88 | (2.96) | 10.08 | |
| CFR | CullenFrost Bankers | 0.59 | 10 per month | 0.94 | 0.05 | 3.15 | (1.48) | 7.64 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | (0.18) | 7 per month | 0.88 | 0.16 | 2.80 | (1.80) | 9.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for SouthState
For every potential investor in SouthState, whether a beginner or expert, SouthState's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SouthState Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SouthState. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SouthState's price trends.SouthState Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SouthState stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SouthState could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SouthState by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SouthState Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SouthState stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SouthState shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SouthState stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SouthState entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SouthState Risk Indicators
The analysis of SouthState's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SouthState's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southstate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9793 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SouthState
The number of cover stories for SouthState depends on current market conditions and SouthState's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SouthState is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SouthState's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SouthState to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade SouthState Stock refer to our How to Trade SouthState Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SouthState. If investors know SouthState will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SouthState listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.309 | Dividend Share 2.28 | Earnings Share 7.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.532 |
The market value of SouthState is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SouthState that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SouthState's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SouthState's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SouthState's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SouthState's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SouthState's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SouthState is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SouthState's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.