Stantec Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| STN Stock | USD 99.22 1.53 1.52% |
Stantec Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Stantec's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Stantec's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Stantec fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Stantec's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.461 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.288 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2542 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.0474 | Wall Street Target Price 94.28 |
Using Stantec hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stantec from the perspective of Stantec response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stantec using Stantec's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stantec using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stantec's stock price.
Stantec Short Interest
An investor who is long Stantec may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stantec and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stantec with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 103.7091 | Short Percent 0.0023 | Short Ratio 4.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 96.9506 |
Stantec Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stantec on the next trading day is expected to be 99.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.16.Stantec Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stantec's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stantec. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stantec can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stantec. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stantec's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stantec.
Stantec Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
Stantec's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stantec stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stantec's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stantec stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stantec's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stantec on the next trading day is expected to be 99.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.16. Stantec after-hype prediction price | USD 99.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stantec to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Stantec contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Stantec will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Stantec trading at USD 99.22, that is roughly USD 0.0298 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Stantec's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Stantec options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Stantec Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Stantec's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Stantec's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Stantec stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Stantec's open interest, investors have to compare it to Stantec's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Stantec is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Stantec. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Stantec Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stantec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stantec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stantec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stantec Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stantec on the next trading day is expected to be 99.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stantec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stantec's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stantec Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stantec | Stantec Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Stantec Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stantec's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stantec's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.73 and 100.73, respectively. We have considered Stantec's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stantec stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stantec stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1953 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.186 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 71.1608 |
Predictive Modules for Stantec
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stantec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stantec's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stantec After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stantec at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stantec or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stantec, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stantec Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stantec's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stantec's historical news coverage. Stantec's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.73 and 100.71, respectively. We have considered Stantec's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stantec is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stantec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stantec Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stantec is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stantec backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stantec, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.50 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
99.22 | 99.22 | 0.00 |
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Stantec Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Stantec is traded for 99.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Stantec is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 90.91%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stantec is about 114.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.36. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Stantec was at this time reported as 20.71. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. Stantec last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of November 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stantec to cross-verify your projections.Stantec Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stantec's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stantec's future price movements. Getting to know how Stantec's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stantec may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STRL | Sterling Construction | 8.96 | 9 per month | 4.60 | (0.01) | 5.34 | (6.91) | 21.66 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | (6.07) | 11 per month | 1.71 | 0.09 | 4.50 | (3.27) | 10.98 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | 1.38 | 10 per month | 2.04 | 0.02 | 5.94 | (3.37) | 15.38 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 9.33 | 8 per month | 2.49 | 0.08 | 3.93 | (3.03) | 10.02 | |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech | (0.18) | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.13 | 4.35 | (3.21) | 21.35 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | 2.60 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.16 | 3.03 | (2.84) | 7.77 | |
| MAS | Masco | (0.64) | 10 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 3.56 | (2.16) | 7.82 | |
| ERJ | ERJ Old | (0.31) | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.05 | 4.08 | (3.91) | 9.21 | |
| WCC | WESCO International | (2.28) | 11 per month | 1.93 | 0.09 | 3.36 | (3.42) | 10.20 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 0.29 | 8 per month | 0.61 | 0.21 | 2.68 | (1.54) | 6.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stantec
For every potential investor in Stantec, whether a beginner or expert, Stantec's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stantec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stantec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stantec's price trends.Stantec Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stantec stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stantec could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stantec by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stantec Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stantec stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stantec shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stantec stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stantec entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4975.91 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.94) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 99.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 99.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.53) |
Stantec Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stantec's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stantec's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stantec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stantec
The number of cover stories for Stantec depends on current market conditions and Stantec's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stantec is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stantec's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stantec Short Properties
Stantec's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stantec's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stantec often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stantec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stantec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 254.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stantec to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Stantec Stock, please use our How to Invest in Stantec guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Will Research & Consulting Services sector continue expanding? Could Stantec diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stantec. If investors know Stantec will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Stantec data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.461 | Dividend Share 0.885 | Earnings Share 3.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.118 |
The market value of Stantec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stantec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stantec's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stantec's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Stantec's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stantec's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stantec's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stantec is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Stantec's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.