Stantec Stock Price Prediction
| STN Stock | USD 100.13 0.40 0.40% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.461 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.288 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2542 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.0474 | Wall Street Target Price 94.28 |
Using Stantec hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stantec from the perspective of Stantec response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stantec using Stantec's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stantec using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stantec's stock price.
Stantec Short Interest
An investor who is long Stantec may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stantec and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stantec with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 103.2775 | Short Percent 0.0023 | Short Ratio 4.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 96.8502 |
Stantec Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stantec's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stantec. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stantec can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stantec. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stantec's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stantec.
Stantec Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Stantec's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stantec stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stantec's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stantec stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stantec's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stantec to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stantec because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Stantec after-hype prediction price | USD 100.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Stantec Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stantec's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stantec After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stantec at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stantec or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stantec, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stantec Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stantec's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stantec's historical news coverage. Stantec's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.82 and 101.80, respectively. We have considered Stantec's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stantec is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stantec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stantec Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stantec is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stantec backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stantec, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.49 | 0.18 | 0.43 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
100.13 | 100.31 | 0.18 |
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Stantec Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Stantec is traded for 100.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.43. Stantec is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 100.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 122.13%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Stantec is about 52.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 100.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.5 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 361.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.45 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Stantec Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Stantec Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stantec's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stantec's future price movements. Getting to know how Stantec's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stantec may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STRL | Sterling Construction | 8.11 | 9 per month | 4.36 | 0.02 | 6.61 | (6.91) | 21.66 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | 16.74 | 13 per month | 1.87 | 0.02 | 4.50 | (3.27) | 10.98 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | 6.79 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.94 | (3.40) | 15.38 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | (7.98) | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.25 | 4.34 | (2.56) | 10.50 | |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech | 0.88 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.04 | 3.80 | (3.21) | 21.35 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | (0.35) | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 2.47 | (2.84) | 7.77 | |
| MAS | Masco | 3.48 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.51 | (2.29) | 7.82 | |
| ERJ | Embraer SA ADR | 0.38 | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.04 | 4.08 | (3.91) | 9.21 | |
| WCC | WESCO International | 4.02 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.16 | 3.54 | (3.42) | 16.49 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | (3.52) | 10 per month | 0.74 | 0.13 | 2.68 | (1.79) | 6.54 |
Stantec Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stantec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stantec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stantec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Stantec Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Stantec stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stantec, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stantec based on analysis of Stantec hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stantec's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stantec's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007175 | 0.007307 | 0.008403 | 0.013 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.34 | 2.19 | 1.97 | 2.07 |
Pair Trading with Stantec
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Stantec position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Stantec will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Stantec Stock
| 0.79 | 603060 | China Building Material | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | 603357 | Anhui Transport Cons | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | RCMT | RCM Technologies | PairCorr |
Moving against Stantec Stock
| 0.84 | TLKMF | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | PTITF | PT Indosat Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | RHLD | Resolute Holdings Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | RGP | Resources Connection | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | EXPO | Exponent Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Stantec could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Stantec when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Stantec - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Stantec to buy it.
The correlation of Stantec is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Stantec moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Stantec moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Stantec can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Stantec Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Stantec Stock, please use our How to Invest in Stantec guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Research & Consulting Services sector continue expanding? Could Stantec diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stantec. If investors know Stantec will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Stantec data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.461 | Dividend Share 0.885 | Earnings Share 3.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.118 |
The market value of Stantec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stantec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stantec's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stantec's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Stantec's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stantec's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stantec's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stantec is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Stantec's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.