Stock Yards Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SYBT Stock  USD 65.20  0.25  0.38%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.01. Stock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Stock Yards' share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Stock, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 75

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Stock Yards' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stock Yards Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Stock Yards' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.23
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1633
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.705
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.755
Wall Street Target Price
75.8
Using Stock Yards hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stock Yards Bancorp from the perspective of Stock Yards response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stock Yards using Stock Yards' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stock Yards' stock price.

Stock Yards Short Interest

An investor who is long Stock Yards may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stock Yards and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stock Yards with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
72.3037
Short Percent
0.0768
Short Ratio
11.4
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
66.7292

Stock Yards Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Stock Yards' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stock Yards Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stock Yards' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stock Yards.

Stock Yards Implied Volatility

    
  0.52  
Stock Yards' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stock Yards Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stock Yards' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stock Yards stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stock Yards' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.01.

Stock Yards after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 65.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stock Yards to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Stock Yards' Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.07 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (17.05) in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 112.3 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 24.5 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Stock Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Stock Yards' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Stock Yards' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Stock Yards stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Stock Yards' open interest, investors have to compare it to Stock Yards' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Stock Yards is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Stock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Stock Yards Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Stock Yards' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1991-03-31
Previous Quarter
97.6 M
Current Value
84.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
23.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Stock Yards is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Stock Yards Bancorp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Stock Yards Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 62.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stock Yards' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Yards Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Stock YardsStock Yards Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Stock Yards Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stock Yards' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stock Yards' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.28 and 64.60, respectively. We have considered Stock Yards' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.20
62.94
Expected Value
64.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stock Yards stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stock Yards stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2342
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8527
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors52.0145
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Stock Yards Bancorp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Stock Yards. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Stock Yards

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stock Yards Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.6565.3266.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.6870.8272.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
64.8865.1265.35
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
68.9875.8084.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stock Yards. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stock Yards' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stock Yards' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stock Yards Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for Stock Yards

For every potential investor in Stock, whether a beginner or expert, Stock Yards' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stock Yards' price trends.

Stock Yards Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stock Yards stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stock Yards could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stock Yards by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stock Yards Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stock Yards' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stock Yards' current price.

Stock Yards Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stock Yards stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stock Yards shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stock Yards stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stock Yards Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stock Yards Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stock Yards' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stock Yards' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Stock Stock Analysis

When running Stock Yards' price analysis, check to measure Stock Yards' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stock Yards is operating at the current time. Most of Stock Yards' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stock Yards' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stock Yards' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stock Yards to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.