Stock Yards Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SYBT Stock | USD 76.12 0.75 0.98% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 76.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.27. Stock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Stock Yards Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 76.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 2.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stock Yards' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Yards Stock Forecast Pattern
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Stock Yards Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stock Yards' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stock Yards' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.81 and 78.49, respectively. We have considered Stock Yards' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stock Yards stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stock Yards stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2873 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0168 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.27 |
Predictive Modules for Stock Yards
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stock Yards Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Stock Yards
For every potential investor in Stock, whether a beginner or expert, Stock Yards' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stock Yards' price trends.View Stock Yards Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stock Yards Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stock Yards' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stock Yards' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Stock Yards Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stock Yards stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stock Yards shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stock Yards stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stock Yards Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Stock Yards Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stock Yards' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stock Yards' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Variance | 5.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Stock Stock Analysis
When running Stock Yards' price analysis, check to measure Stock Yards' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stock Yards is operating at the current time. Most of Stock Yards' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stock Yards' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stock Yards' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stock Yards to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.