Stock Yards Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SYBT Stock | USD 68.53 0.17 0.25% |
Stock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Stock Yards' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.159 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.14 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.9233 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.3933 | Wall Street Target Price 76 |
Using Stock Yards hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stock Yards Bancorp from the perspective of Stock Yards response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stock Yards using Stock Yards' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stock Yards' stock price.
Stock Yards Short Interest
An investor who is long Stock Yards may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stock Yards and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stock Yards with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 72.2917 | Short Percent 0.0645 | Short Ratio 13.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 67.8678 |
Stock Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 68.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.83.Stock Yards Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stock Yards' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stock Yards Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stock Yards' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stock Yards.
Stock Yards Implied Volatility | 0.95 |
Stock Yards' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stock Yards Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stock Yards' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stock Yards stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stock Yards' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 68.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.83. Stock Yards after-hype prediction price | USD 68.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stock Yards to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Stock contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Stock Yards Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0594% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Stock Yards trading at USD 68.53, that is roughly USD 0.0407 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Stock Yards' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Stock Yards Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.95%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Stock Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Stock Yards' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Stock Yards' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Stock Yards stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Stock Yards' open interest, investors have to compare it to Stock Yards' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Stock Yards is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Stock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Stock Yards Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stock Yards Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stock Yards Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 68.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stock Yards' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Yards Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stock Yards | Stock Yards Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Stock Yards Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stock Yards' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stock Yards' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.62 and 69.90, respectively. We have considered Stock Yards' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stock Yards stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stock Yards stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.137 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9304 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 55.8257 |
Predictive Modules for Stock Yards
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stock Yards Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stock Yards After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stock Yards at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stock Yards or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stock Yards, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stock Yards Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stock Yards' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stock Yards' historical news coverage. Stock Yards' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.82 and 70.18, respectively. We have considered Stock Yards' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stock Yards is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stock Yards Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stock Yards Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stock Yards is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stock Yards backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stock Yards, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.64 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
68.53 | 68.50 | 0.04 |
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Stock Yards Hype Timeline
Stock Yards Bancorp is at this time traded for 68.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Stock is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 68.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Stock Yards is about 326.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.47. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stock Yards Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 31st of May 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stock Yards to cross-verify your projections.Stock Yards Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stock Yards' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stock Yards' future price movements. Getting to know how Stock Yards' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stock Yards may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings | 0.55 | 7 per month | 0.96 | 0.12 | 2.26 | (1.30) | 7.38 | |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares | (1.15) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.13 | 2.95 | (2.36) | 13.07 | |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp | 0.53 | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0.01 | 3.73 | (3.09) | 14.63 | |
| BUSE | First Busey Corp | 0.11 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.1 | 3.20 | (1.93) | 7.86 | |
| FBNC | First Bancorp | (2.79) | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 3.02 | (1.54) | 9.98 | |
| NBTB | NBT Bancorp | (0.85) | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.05 | 3.31 | (1.84) | 8.92 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | (1.00) | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 2.79 | (1.67) | 9.13 | |
| FRME | First Merchants | (0.34) | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.11 | 2.84 | (1.50) | 8.32 | |
| BBAR | BBVA Banco Frances | (0.06) | 6 per month | 3.17 | 0.01 | 6.39 | (6.06) | 19.20 | |
| BANR | Banner | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.01 | 2.95 | (1.65) | 10.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stock Yards
For every potential investor in Stock, whether a beginner or expert, Stock Yards' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stock Yards' price trends.Stock Yards Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stock Yards stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stock Yards could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stock Yards by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stock Yards Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stock Yards stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stock Yards shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stock Yards stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stock Yards Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3834.11 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0791 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 68.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 68.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.56 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.17 |
Stock Yards Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stock Yards' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stock Yards' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stock Yards
The number of cover stories for Stock Yards depends on current market conditions and Stock Yards' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stock Yards is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stock Yards' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stock Yards Short Properties
Stock Yards' future price predictability will typically decrease when Stock Yards' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stock Yards Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stock Yards' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stock Yards' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Additional Tools for Stock Stock Analysis
When running Stock Yards' price analysis, check to measure Stock Yards' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stock Yards is operating at the current time. Most of Stock Yards' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stock Yards' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stock Yards' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stock Yards to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.