TrueBlue Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TBI Stock | USD 4.92 0.14 2.93% |
TrueBlue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TrueBlue's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of TrueBlue's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TrueBlue, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0375 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2633 | Wall Street Target Price 8.5 |
Using TrueBlue hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TrueBlue from the perspective of TrueBlue response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TrueBlue using TrueBlue's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TrueBlue using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TrueBlue's stock price.
TrueBlue Implied Volatility | 2.26 |
TrueBlue's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TrueBlue stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TrueBlue's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TrueBlue stock will not fluctuate a lot when TrueBlue's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TrueBlue on the next trading day is expected to be 4.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96. TrueBlue after-hype prediction price | USD 4.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TrueBlue to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TrueBlue Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TrueBlue's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TrueBlue's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TrueBlue stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TrueBlue's open interest, investors have to compare it to TrueBlue's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TrueBlue is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TrueBlue. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TrueBlue Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TrueBlue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TrueBlue using various technical indicators. When you analyze TrueBlue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TrueBlue Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TrueBlue on the next trading day is expected to be 4.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TrueBlue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TrueBlue's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TrueBlue Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TrueBlue | TrueBlue Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TrueBlue Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TrueBlue's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TrueBlue's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.08 and 8.75, respectively. We have considered TrueBlue's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TrueBlue stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TrueBlue stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8687 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.005 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1326 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0267 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.9551 |
Predictive Modules for TrueBlue
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TrueBlue. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TrueBlue After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TrueBlue at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TrueBlue or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TrueBlue, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TrueBlue Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TrueBlue's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TrueBlue's historical news coverage. TrueBlue's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.05 and 8.75, respectively. We have considered TrueBlue's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TrueBlue is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TrueBlue is based on 3 months time horizon.
TrueBlue Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TrueBlue is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TrueBlue backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TrueBlue, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.84 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.92 | 4.90 | 0.41 |
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TrueBlue Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January TrueBlue is traded for 4.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. TrueBlue is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on TrueBlue is about 48000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.92. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TrueBlue recorded a loss per share of 0.97. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. The firm had 3:2 split on the 13th of July 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TrueBlue to cross-verify your projections.TrueBlue Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TrueBlue's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TrueBlue's future price movements. Getting to know how TrueBlue's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TrueBlue may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VOLT | Tema Electrification ETF | (0.93) | 4 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 1.74 | (2.15) | 5.14 | |
| FORR | Forrester Research | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.17 | (4.40) | 13.37 | |
| SRFM | Surf Air Mobility | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.58 | (7.98) | 33.51 | |
| MVST | Microvast Holdings | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 6.02 | (8.87) | 18.37 | |
| HQI | Hirequest | 0.86 | 8 per month | 2.64 | 0.1 | 8.40 | (4.99) | 23.30 | |
| RGP | Resources Connection | 0.07 | 8 per month | 3.52 | (0.02) | 4.80 | (4.06) | 21.08 | |
| HUHU | HUHUTECH International Group | (0.35) | 9 per month | 4.36 | 0.06 | 11.46 | (9.45) | 31.09 | |
| PEW | GrabAGun Digital Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.13 | (5.35) | 29.97 | |
| TAYD | Taylor Devices | 0.64 | 5 per month | 3.03 | 0.21 | 5.14 | (4.32) | 17.40 | |
| ONEG | OneConstruction Group Limited | (0.37) | 4 per month | 16.66 | 0.01 | 21.11 | (30.46) | 64.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for TrueBlue
For every potential investor in TrueBlue, whether a beginner or expert, TrueBlue's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TrueBlue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TrueBlue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TrueBlue's price trends.TrueBlue Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TrueBlue stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TrueBlue could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TrueBlue by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TrueBlue Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TrueBlue stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TrueBlue shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TrueBlue stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TrueBlue entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TrueBlue Risk Indicators
The analysis of TrueBlue's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TrueBlue's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trueblue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TrueBlue
The number of cover stories for TrueBlue depends on current market conditions and TrueBlue's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TrueBlue is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TrueBlue's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TrueBlue Short Properties
TrueBlue's future price predictability will typically decrease when TrueBlue's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TrueBlue often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TrueBlue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TrueBlue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TrueBlue to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in TrueBlue Stock please use our How to Invest in TrueBlue guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is there potential for Human Resource & Employment Services market expansion? Will TrueBlue introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TrueBlue. If investors know TrueBlue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about TrueBlue listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Earnings Share (0.97) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 | Return On Assets |
TrueBlue's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on TrueBlue's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate TrueBlue's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since TrueBlue's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TrueBlue's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TrueBlue is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TrueBlue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.