Taboola Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| TBLA Stock | USD 3.82 0.25 6.14% |
Taboola Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Taboola stock prices and determine the direction of Taboola's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Taboola's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Taboola's share price is approaching 41. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Taboola, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.131 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1775 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4517 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.11 | Wall Street Target Price 4.8 |
Using Taboola hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Taboola from the perspective of Taboola response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Taboola using Taboola's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Taboola using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Taboola's stock price.
Taboola Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Taboola's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Taboola. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Taboola stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.5923 | Short Percent 0.0298 | Short Ratio 3.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 4.1386 |
Taboola Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Taboola on the next trading day is expected to be 3.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36.Taboola Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Taboola's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Taboola. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Taboola can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Taboola. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Taboola's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Taboola.
Taboola Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Taboola's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Taboola stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Taboola's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Taboola stock will not fluctuate a lot when Taboola's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Taboola on the next trading day is expected to be 3.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36. Taboola after-hype prediction price | USD 4.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taboola to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Taboola Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Taboola's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Taboola's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Taboola stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Taboola's open interest, investors have to compare it to Taboola's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Taboola is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Taboola. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Taboola Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Taboola price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Taboola using various technical indicators. When you analyze Taboola charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Taboola Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Taboola on the next trading day is expected to be 3.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taboola Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taboola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Taboola Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Taboola | Taboola Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Taboola Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Taboola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taboola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.87 and 6.02, respectively. We have considered Taboola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taboola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taboola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.8949 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0739 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0179 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.36 |
Predictive Modules for Taboola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taboola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Taboola After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Taboola at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Taboola or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Taboola, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Taboola Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Taboola's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Taboola's historical news coverage. Taboola's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.98 and 6.16, respectively. We have considered Taboola's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Taboola is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Taboola is based on 3 months time horizon.
Taboola Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Taboola is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Taboola backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Taboola, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.08 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.82 | 4.07 | 0.00 |
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Taboola Hype Timeline
Taboola is at this time traded for 3.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Taboola is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Taboola is about 1497.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.80. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.3. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Taboola had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taboola to cross-verify your projections.Taboola Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Taboola's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Taboola's future price movements. Getting to know how Taboola's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Taboola may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GIBO | Global IBO Group | (1.26) | 38 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.44 | (8.30) | 32.13 | |
| FVRR | Fiverr International | (0.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.22 | (4.82) | 11.60 | |
| MOMO | Hello Group | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.80 | (2.36) | 9.42 | |
| GRPN | Groupon | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.05 | (6.87) | 18.61 | |
| EVER | EverQuote Class A | 0.27 | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.07 | 4.31 | (3.84) | 14.16 | |
| SSTK | Shutterstock | 0.63 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.72 | (4.09) | 11.66 | |
| GLIBA | GCI Liberty | 0.38 | 8 per month | 2.38 | 0 | 3.52 | (3.31) | 13.46 | |
| GETY | Getty Images Holdings | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.51 | (6.63) | 18.86 | |
| OPRA | Opera | (0.74) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.52 | (5.08) | 13.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Taboola
For every potential investor in Taboola, whether a beginner or expert, Taboola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taboola Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taboola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taboola's price trends.Taboola Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taboola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taboola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taboola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Taboola Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taboola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taboola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taboola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taboola entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Taboola Risk Indicators
The analysis of Taboola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taboola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taboola stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Taboola
The number of cover stories for Taboola depends on current market conditions and Taboola's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Taboola is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Taboola's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Taboola Short Properties
Taboola's future price predictability will typically decrease when Taboola's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Taboola often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Taboola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taboola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 343.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taboola to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Taboola Stock refer to our How to Trade Taboola Stock guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taboola. If investors know Taboola will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Taboola assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.131 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Taboola is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Taboola that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Taboola's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Taboola's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Taboola's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Taboola's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taboola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taboola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Taboola's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.