Taseko Mines Stock Forward View
| TGB Stock | USD 8.83 1.12 14.53% |
Taseko Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Taseko Mines stock prices and determine the direction of Taseko Mines's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Taseko Mines' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Taseko Mines' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Taseko, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1275 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1814 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.64 | Wall Street Target Price 4.87 |
Using Taseko Mines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Taseko Mines from the perspective of Taseko Mines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Taseko Mines using Taseko Mines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Taseko using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Taseko Mines' stock price.
Taseko Mines Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Taseko Mines' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Taseko. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Taseko Mines stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.9184 | Short Percent 0.009 | Short Ratio 0.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 8 M | 50 Day MA 5.8988 |
Taseko Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Taseko Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 8.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.64.Taseko Mines Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Taseko Mines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Taseko. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Taseko can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Taseko Mines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Taseko Mines' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Taseko Mines.
Taseko Mines Implied Volatility | 1.36 |
Taseko Mines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Taseko Mines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Taseko Mines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Taseko Mines stock will not fluctuate a lot when Taseko Mines' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Taseko Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 8.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.64. Taseko Mines after-hype prediction price | USD 8.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taseko Mines to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Taseko contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Taseko Mines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.085% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Taseko Mines trading at USD 8.83, that is roughly USD 0.007506 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Taseko Mines' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Taseko Mines options at the current volatility level of 1.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Taseko Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Taseko Mines' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Taseko Mines' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Taseko Mines stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Taseko Mines' open interest, investors have to compare it to Taseko Mines' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Taseko Mines is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Taseko. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Taseko Mines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Taseko price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Taseko using various technical indicators. When you analyze Taseko charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Taseko Mines Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Taseko Mines' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-09-30 | Previous Quarter 122 M | Current Value 90.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 77.6 M |
Taseko Mines Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Taseko Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 8.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taseko Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taseko Mines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Taseko Mines Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Taseko Mines | Taseko Mines Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Taseko Mines Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Taseko Mines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taseko Mines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.24 and 12.39, respectively. We have considered Taseko Mines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taseko Mines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taseko Mines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3108 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1909 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0332 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.6432 |
Predictive Modules for Taseko Mines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taseko Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Taseko Mines After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Taseko Mines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Taseko Mines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Taseko Mines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Taseko Mines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Taseko Mines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Taseko Mines' historical news coverage. Taseko Mines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.38 and 12.38, respectively. We have considered Taseko Mines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Taseko Mines is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Taseko Mines is based on 3 months time horizon.
Taseko Mines Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Taseko Mines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Taseko Mines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Taseko Mines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.16 | 4.08 | 0.02 | 0.27 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.83 | 8.38 | 0.24 |
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Taseko Mines Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Taseko Mines is traded for 8.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Taseko is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.16%. The volatility of related hype on Taseko Mines is about 1721.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 608.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (13.44 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 184.11 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taseko Mines to cross-verify your projections.Taseko Mines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Taseko Mines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Taseko Mines' future price movements. Getting to know how Taseko Mines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Taseko Mines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VZLA | Vizsla Resources Corp | (0.14) | 9 per month | 5.04 | 0.08 | 7.64 | (7.52) | 27.19 | |
| IPX | IperionX Limited American | 1.02 | 11 per month | 4.44 | 0.03 | 7.31 | (7.07) | 17.35 | |
| SVM | Silvercorp Metals | 0.16 | 7 per month | 3.76 | 0.18 | 8.12 | (5.18) | 27.66 | |
| HUN | Huntsman | 0.55 | 9 per month | 2.68 | 0.07 | 5.91 | (5.12) | 15.80 | |
| KALU | Kaiser Aluminum | (3.59) | 12 per month | 1.46 | 0.23 | 4.37 | (2.75) | 9.28 | |
| LAC | Lithium Americas Corp | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.25 | (7.45) | 19.72 | |
| SLVM | Sylvamo Corp | 0.67 | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 4.57 | (2.41) | 12.97 | |
| SIM | Grupo Simec SAB | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.06 | 5.28 | (3.96) | 17.73 | |
| USAR | USA Rare Earth | (0.65) | 9 per month | 6.44 | 0.05 | 12.13 | (12.35) | 37.41 | |
| LOMA | Loma Negra Compania | (0.55) | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.05 | 5.37 | (3.54) | 12.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Taseko Mines
For every potential investor in Taseko, whether a beginner or expert, Taseko Mines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taseko Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taseko. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taseko Mines' price trends.Taseko Mines Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taseko Mines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taseko Mines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taseko Mines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Taseko Mines Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taseko Mines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taseko Mines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taseko Mines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taseko Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Taseko Mines Risk Indicators
The analysis of Taseko Mines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taseko Mines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taseko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Variance | 15.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Taseko Mines
The number of cover stories for Taseko Mines depends on current market conditions and Taseko Mines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Taseko Mines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Taseko Mines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Taseko Mines Short Properties
Taseko Mines' future price predictability will typically decrease when Taseko Mines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Taseko Mines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Taseko Mines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taseko Mines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 295.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 173.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taseko Mines to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Taseko Stock refer to our How to Trade Taseko Stock guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taseko Mines. If investors know Taseko will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Taseko Mines assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Earnings Share (0.14) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.118 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Taseko Mines using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Taseko Mines' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Taseko Mines' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taseko Mines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taseko Mines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Taseko Mines' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.