Toro Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TTC Stock  USD 83.81  1.94  2.37%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Toro Co on the next trading day is expected to be 82.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.13. Toro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Toro stock prices and determine the direction of Toro Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Toro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Toro's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 11.26, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 6.63. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 129.4 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 198.7 M.
Toro polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Toro Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Toro Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Toro Co on the next trading day is expected to be 82.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.81, mean absolute percentage error of 5.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Toro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Toro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Toro Stock Forecast Pattern

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Toro Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Toro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Toro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.45 and 84.07, respectively. We have considered Toro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
83.81
82.26
Expected Value
84.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Toro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Toro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.5706
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8086
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0214
SAESum of the absolute errors112.1333
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Toro historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Toro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.0583.8485.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.4394.0495.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.3883.2087.01
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
93.73103.00114.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Toro

For every potential investor in Toro, whether a beginner or expert, Toro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toro's price trends.

Toro Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Toro Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Toro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Toro's current price.

Toro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toro Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Toro Risk Indicators

The analysis of Toro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Toro offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Toro's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Toro Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Toro Co Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toro to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Toro Stock refer to our How to Trade Toro Stock guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toro. If investors know Toro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
1.42
Earnings Share
3.81
Revenue Per Share
43.11
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
The market value of Toro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.